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Bundesliga
Referee: G Winkmann
Stuttgart
T S T U S
5–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 19%
32%
5%
Points per game
1,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
68%
Both score Ø 57%
73%
41%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,6
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 15 4 3 +31 49
2 RB Leipzig 22 14 5 3 +22 47
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 +16 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 23 11 9 3 +14 42
5 Leverkusen 22 10 7 5 +16 37
6 Dortmund 22 11 3 8 +14 36
7 Union Berlin 22 8 9 5 +10 33
8 M'gladbach 22 8 9 5 +5 33
9 Freiburg 22 8 7 7 +1 31
10 Stuttgart 22 7 8 7 +4 29
11 Hoffenheim 22 7 5 10 -3 26
12 Werder Bremen 22 6 8 8 -6 26
13 Augsburg 22 6 5 11 -13 23
14 FC Koln 22 5 6 11 -16 21
15 Hertha 22 4 6 12 -14 18
16 Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 -20 18
17 Mainz 22 4 5 13 -20 17
18 Schalke 04 22 1 6 15 -41 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Schalke 04
1–0 W. Endo
B. Sosa
10′
2–0 W. Endo
G. Castro
26′
29′
🟨 Timo Becker
3–0 S. Kalajdzic
B. Sosa
34′
40′
S. Kolašinac 3–1
B. Stambouli
Half-time 3–1
57′
🔁 A. Schöpf
↦ William
57′
🔁 N. Bentaleb
↦ Omar Mascarell
Gonzalo Castro 🟨
59′
P. Klement 🔁
↦ G. Castro
62′
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ P. Förster
62′
Wataru Endo 🟨
66′
74′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ M. Hoppe
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ M. Kempf
76′
77′
🟨 Malick Thiaw
83′
🔁 B. Oczipka
↦ B. Stambouli
H. Al Ghaddioui 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
86′
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ S. Wamangituka
86′
88′
🟨 Nabil Bentaleb
4–1 P. Klement
W. Endo
88′
5–1 D. Didavi
W. Endo
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
21 P. Klement
10 D. Didavi
15 P. Stenzel
18 H. Al Ghaddioui
7 T. Coulibaly
16 A. Karazor
29 A. Cissé
33 F. Bredlow
31 M. Klimowicz

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
34 M. Langer G
30 S. Mustafi D
17 B. Stambouli M
20 S. Kolašinac D
13 William M
31 T. Becker D
33 M. Thiaw D
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
43 M. Hoppe F
Bench (8)
28 A. Schöpf
10 N. Bentaleb
9 B. Raman
24 B. Oczipka
48 S. Ahlers
3 H. Mendyl
40 C. Bozdogan
37 L. Mercan

Coach: C. Gross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,57
B
6,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Winkmann · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.