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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Wolfsburg
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
60%
Both score Ø 68%
55%
80%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 4. · M'gladbach 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 3 2 +32 48
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 +19 44
3 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 9 2 +14 39
4 Wolfsburg 20 10 8 2 +13 38
5 Leverkusen 21 10 6 5 +16 36
6 Dortmund 21 10 3 8 +10 33
7 M'gladbach 20 8 8 4 +6 32
8 Freiburg 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Union Berlin 21 7 9 5 +9 30
10 Stuttgart 21 6 8 7 +3 26
11 Werder Bremen 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Hoffenheim 21 6 5 10 -7 23
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 FC Koln 21 5 6 10 -15 21
15 Hertha 21 4 6 11 -11 18
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 21 3 5 13 -21 14
18 Schalke 04 21 1 6 14 -37 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg M'gladbach
7′
🟨 Ramy Bensebaini
John Brooks 🟨
11′
Half-time 0–0
70′
🔁 H. Wolf
↦ V. Lazaro
79′
🟨 Alassane Pléa
João Victor 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
80′
80′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ J. Hofmann
85′
🟨 Breel Embolo
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
25 J. Brooks D
6 Paulo Otávio D
19 K. Mbabu D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
20 R. Baku M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
40 João Victor
14 A. Mehmedi
21 B. Białek
7 J. Brekalo
15 J. Roussillon
12 P. Pervan
23 J. Guilavogui
17 M. Philipp
34 M. Pongracic

Coach: O. Glasner

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
13 L. Stindl M
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann M
19 V. Lazaro M
32 F. Neuhaus M
14 A. Plea F
Bench (9)
11 H. Wolf
36 B. Embolo
3 M. Lang
7 P. Herrmann
21 T. Sippel
15 L. Beyer
24 T. Jantschke
43 R. Reitz
17 O. Wendt

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,48
B
2,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.