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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
M'gladbach
S T S S S
5–1
Full-time
Augsburg
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 6. · Augsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 4 2 1 +12 14
2 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +8 14
3 RB Leipzig 7 4 2 1 +8 14
4 Schalke 04 7 4 2 1 +7 14
5 Leverkusen 7 4 2 1 +4 14
6 M'gladbach 6 4 1 1 +5 13
7 Dortmund 7 3 3 1 +8 12
8 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 0 +5 12
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Hertha 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 -5 8
12 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Mainz 7 2 0 5 -10 6
14 Augsburg 6 1 2 3 -7 5
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Union Berlin 6 1 1 4 -6 4
17 FC Koln 7 1 1 5 -11 4
18 Paderborn 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Augsburg
1–0 D. Zakaria
M. Thuram
2′
2–0 P. Herrmann
A. Pléa
8′
3–0 P. Herrmann
A. Pléa
13′
Patrick Herrmann 🟨
28′
34′
🟨 Rani Khedira
4–0 A. Pléa
39′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 R. Oxford
↦ R. Khedira
46′
🔁 R. Framberger
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ A. Pléa
54′
N. Elvedi 🔁
↦ S. Lainer
60′
62′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
76′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ M. Gregoritsch
80′
F. Niederlechner 4–1
O. Wendt 🔁
↦ M. Ginter
81′
5–1 B. Embolo
P. Herrmann
83′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
24 T. Jantschke D
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
25 R. Bensebaini D
6 C. Kramer M
22 L. Bénes M
8 D. Zakaria M
7 P. Herrmann M
14 A. Pléa F
10 M. Thuram M
Bench (9)
36 B. Embolo
30 N. Elvedi
17 O. Wendt
4 M. Doucouré
21 T. Sippel
11 Raffael
34 C. Noß
32 F. Neuhaus
44 C. Makridis

Coach: M. Rose

Augsburg

4-4-2
21 T. Koubek G
2 S. Lichtsteiner D
18 T. Jedvaj D
31 P. Max D
19 F. Uduokhai D
28 A. Hahn M
14 J. Morávek M
11 M. Gregoritsch F
8 R. Khedira M
7 F. Niederlechner F
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (9)
36 R. Oxford
32 R. Framberger
24 F. Jensen
34 G. Teigl
9 S. Córdova
20 J. Schieber
27 A. Finnbogason
1 A. Luthe
22 Iago

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,53
B
5,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.