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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Hertha
S S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Augsburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 1 2 +28 28
2 Dortmund 12 9 0 3 +12 27
3 Freiburg 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 Leverkusen 12 6 3 3 +8 21
5 Union Berlin 12 5 5 2 +2 20
6 Wolfsburg 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 RB Leipzig 12 5 3 4 +10 18
8 M'gladbach 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Mainz 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 Hoffenheim 12 5 2 5 +4 17
11 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 6 3 -2 15
12 FC Koln 12 3 6 3 -3 15
13 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
14 Bochum 12 4 1 7 -9 13
15 Hertha 12 4 1 7 -14 13
16 Augsburg 12 3 3 6 -10 12
17 Bielefeld 12 1 6 5 -9 9
18 Greuther Furth 12 0 1 11 -25 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Augsburg
31′
🟨 Ruben Vargas
1–0 M. Richter
40′
Marco Richter 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
67′
67′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ R. Vargas
67′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ M. Pedersen
D. Jastrzembski 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
73′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ I. Belfodil
73′
77′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ A. Zeqiri
77′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ A. Maier
D. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ M. Richter
79′
81′
🟨 André Hahn
84′
🔁 R. Framberger
↦ D. Caligiuri
Stevan Jovetić 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Iago
97′
M. Gregoritsch 1–1
F. Jensen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

3-4-2-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík M
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
25 J. Torunarigha D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
8 S. Serdar M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
10 J. Ekkelenkamp F
14 I. Belfodil F
23 M. Richter F
Bench (9)
19 S. Jovetić
30 D. Jastrzembski
7 D. Selke
42 D. Zeefuik
9 K. Piątek
11 M. Maolida
32 O. Christensen
29 L. Tousart
31 M. Dárdai

Coach: P. Dárdai

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
3 M. Pedersen M
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago D
26 F. Winther D
20 D. Caligiuri D
28 A. Hahn F
30 N. Dorsch M
10 A. Maier M
16 R. Vargas M
21 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (9)
9 S. Córdova
24 F. Jensen
11 M. Gregoritsch
7 F. Niederlechner
32 R. Framberger
29 L. Günther
8 C. Gruezo
40 T. Koubek
39 D. Schmidt

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,23
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.