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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Augsburg
T S T S U
2–3
Full-time
Bochum
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 43%
54%
31%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 16. · Bochum 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 10 1 2 +29 31
2 Dortmund 13 10 0 3 +14 30
3 Leverkusen 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
5 Freiburg 13 6 4 3 +6 22
6 Hoffenheim 13 6 2 5 +7 20
7 Wolfsburg 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 RB Leipzig 14 5 3 6 +7 18
9 Mainz 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 FC Koln 13 4 6 3 +0 18
11 M'gladbach 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 6 3 -1 18
13 Bochum 13 5 1 7 -8 16
14 Hertha 13 4 2 7 -14 14
15 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
16 Augsburg 13 3 4 6 -10 13
17 Bielefeld 13 1 6 6 -10 9
18 Greuther Furth 13 0 1 12 -28 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Bochum
23′
S. Polter 0–1
G. Holtmann
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ R. Framberger
31′
36′
🟨 Danilo Soares
40′
G. Holtmann 0–2
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
41′
Half-time 0–2
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ A. Maier
46′
47′
S. Polter 0–3
E. Löwen
1–3 M. Gregoritsch
D. Caligiuri
57′
61′
🔁 M. Pantović
↦ T. Asano
79′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ G. Holtmann
79′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ S. Polter
79′
🔁 R. Tesche
↦ E. Löwen
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
80′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
80′
2–3 D. Caligiuri
86′
87′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbeçaj
89′
🔁 M. Leitsch
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
32 R. Framberger D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago D
26 F. Winther D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
30 N. Dorsch M
10 A. Maier M
16 R. Vargas M
21 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
11 M. Gregoritsch
14 J. Morávek
9 S. Córdova
7 F. Niederlechner
3 M. Pedersen
8 C. Gruezo
40 T. Koubek
38 D. Salifou

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Bochum

4-3-3
21 M. Esser G
24 V. Lampropoulos D
3 Danilo Soares D
16 K. Stafylidis D
8 A. Losilla M
38 E. Löwen M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
40 S. Polter F
17 G. Holtmann F
10 T. Asano F
Bench (9)
27 M. Pantović
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
35 S. Ganvoula
23 R. Tesche
29 M. Leitsch
7 D. Blum
11 H. Bockhorn
34 P. Grave
2 C. Gamboa

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,33
B ✓
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.