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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Augsburg

S T T U T

4–1

Full-time

Stuttgart

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

11%

22%

Points per game

0,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

44%

78%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

0,6

1,6

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%

20 Shots 12

12 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 16. · Stuttgart 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	8	1	1	+28	25
2	Dortmund	10	8	0	2	+12	24
3	Freiburg	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Leverkusen	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Mainz	10	5	1	4	+4	16
6	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	+0	16
7	Wolfsburg	10	5	1	4	-1	16
8	RB Leipzig	10	4	3	3	+11	15
9	Hoffenheim	10	4	2	4	+4	14
10	FC Koln	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Hertha	10	4	0	6	-12	12
12	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Stuttgart	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Bochum	9	3	1	5	-9	10
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	1	6	3	-5	9
16	Augsburg	9	1	3	5	-13	6
17	Bielefeld	10	0	5	5	-10	5
18	Greuther Furth	10	0	1	9	-20	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+16	12
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	+13	12
4	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	FC Koln	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Union Berlin	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+7	10
8	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
9	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Stuttgart	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Bochum	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Ein Frankfurt	5	0	4	1	-1	4
16	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Bielefeld	6	0	3	3	-7	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Wolfsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Mainz	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-12	6
8	Union Berlin	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	-4	5
10	Hoffenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	RB Leipzig	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-4	3
13	M'gladbach	5	1	0	4	-5	3
14	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Bielefeld	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2
17	FC Koln	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	0	6	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.