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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Celta
U S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Valencia
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 19. · Valencia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Valladolid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Betis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Barcelona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Valencia
1–0 G. Fernández
Denis Suárez
15′
Half-time 1–0
Lucas Olaza 🟨
48′
61′
🔁 Rodrigo
↦ M. Gómez
61′
🔁 M. Diakhaby
↦ Gabriel Paulista
62′
🟨 José Luis Gayà
67′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ C. Piccini
Santi Mina 🔁
↦ G. Fernández
74′
Pape Diop 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
78′
90′
🟨 Dani Parejo
Hugo Mallo 🔁
↦ Iago Aspas
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
20 Kevin Vazquez D
4 Néstor Araujo D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
23 Brais Méndez M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Fran Beltran M
6 Denis Suárez M
19 Gabriel Fernández F
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
25 Iván Villar
16 Jorge Sáenz
2 Hugo Mallo
28 Sergio Bermejo Lillo
24 Pape Cheikh
36 Iker Losada
22 Santi Mina

Coach: Fran Escribá

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Jasper Cillessen G
21 Cristiano Piccini D
24 Ezequiel Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Luis Gayà D
18 Daniel Wass M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 Geoffrey Kondogbia M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
22 Maximiliano Gómez F
9 Kévin Gameiro F
Bench (7)
1 Jaume Doménech
3 Jaume Costa
12 Mouctar Diakhaby
16 Kang-in Lee
11 Denis Cheryshev
20 Ferrán Torres
19 Rodrigo

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,17
U
3,45
B
2,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.