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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Villarreal

T U T U U

3–0

Full-time

Sevilla

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 28%

13%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

52%

43%

Both score Ø 55%

57%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 19. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	24	16	6	2	+38	54
2	Ath Madrid	24	13	8	3	+17	47
3	Real Madrid	24	14	3	7	+12	45
4	Sevilla	23	10	7	6	+13	37
5	Getafe	24	9	9	6	+9	36
6	Alaves	23	10	5	8	-3	35
7	Sociedad	24	9	7	8	+5	34
8	Valencia	24	6	14	4	+4	32
9	Betis	23	9	5	9	-3	32
10	Eibar	24	7	10	7	-1	31
11	Levante	24	8	6	10	-7	30
12	Leganes	24	7	8	9	-5	29
13	Espanol	24	8	5	11	-10	29
14	Ath Bilbao	23	5	12	6	-5	27
15	Girona	24	6	9	9	-9	27
16	Valladolid	24	6	8	10	-10	26
17	Celta	24	6	6	12	-7	24
18	Vallecano	24	6	5	13	-14	23
19	Villarreal	23	3	11	9	-8	20
20	Huesca	23	4	6	13	-16	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+24	30
2	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+13	29
3	Real Madrid	12	8	1	3	+12	25
4	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Eibar	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Alaves	11	6	4	1	+6	22
7	Betis	12	6	3	3	+2	21
8	Espanol	11	7	0	4	-1	21
9	Leganes	11	5	5	1	+6	20
10	Getafe	11	6	1	4	+9	19
11	Valencia	13	3	9	1	+6	18
12	Ath Bilbao	12	4	6	2	+0	18
13	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+2	16
14	Celta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
15	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
16	Vallecano	13	3	4	6	-7	13
17	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	-3	12
18	Girona	12	2	5	5	-7	11
19	Huesca	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Villarreal	12	1	6	5	-4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Real Madrid	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Ath Madrid	12	4	6	2	+4	18
4	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
5	Getafe	13	3	8	2	+0	17
6	Girona	12	4	4	4	-2	16
7	Levante	13	4	3	6	-3	15
8	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
9	Valladolid	13	3	5	5	-7	14
10	Sevilla	12	3	4	5	+1	13
11	Alaves	12	4	1	7	-9	13
12	Villarreal	11	2	5	4	-4	11
13	Betis	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Vallecano	11	3	1	7	-7	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Leganes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
17	Celta	11	2	2	7	-8	8
18	Espanol	13	1	5	7	-9	8
19	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-10	8
20	Huesca	12	2	2	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.