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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Celta
T U T S S
4–0
Full-time
Cadiz
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
42%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
58%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
24 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 17. · Cadiz 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 13 7 5 1 +17 26
2 Ath Madrid 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Real Madrid 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Villarreal 13 5 7 1 +4 22
5 Sevilla 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
7 Granada 12 5 3 4 -5 18
8 Barcelona 11 5 2 4 +10 17
9 Betis 13 5 1 7 -9 16
10 Eibar 13 3 6 4 -1 15
11 Valencia 13 3 5 5 +0 14
12 Ath Bilbao 12 4 2 6 +0 14
13 Elche 11 3 5 3 -2 14
14 Alaves 13 3 5 5 -3 14
15 Getafe 12 3 4 5 -5 13
16 Valladolid 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
18 Levante 12 2 5 5 -3 11
19 Huesca 13 1 8 4 -8 11
20 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Cadiz
1–0 Nolito
Iago Aspas
6′
2–0 Iago Aspas
31′
Fran Beltrán 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
34′
3–0 Fran Beltrán
Iago Aspas
43′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 Brais Méndez
Denis Suárez
46′
46′
🔁 Jorge Pombo
↦ Alejo
46′
🔁 Jairo Izquierdo
↦ A. Espino
Denis Suárez 🟨
54′
Néstor Araujo 🟨
57′
58′
🟨 Marcos Mauro
O. Yokuşlu 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
67′
Miguel Baeza 🔁
↦ R. Tapia
67′
69′
🔁 Jon Garrido
↦ J. Jønsson
70′
🔁 A. Lozano
↦ Álvaro Negredo
70′
🔁 F. Malbašić
↦ Álvaro Giménez
José Fontán 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
77′
L. De León 🔁
↦ Nolito
77′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
15 L. Olaza D
18 J. Aidoo D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (11)
8 Fran Beltrán
5 O. Yokuşlu
27 Miguel Baeza
29 José Fontán
38 L. De León
3 David Costas
32 Miguel Rodríguez
34 Sergio Carreira
1 Iván Villar
16 Jorge Sáenz
35 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: E. Coudet

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
4 M. López D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
2 J. Jønsson M
14 Alejo M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
21 Álvaro Giménez F
10 Alberto Perea M
Bench (12)
11 Jorge Pombo
25 Jairo Izquierdo
5 Jon Garrido
9 A. Lozano
24 F. Malbašić
13 David Gil
16 Juan Cala
15 Carlos Akapo
12 Y. Bodiger
19 Alcalá
7 Salvi
23 Nano

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,59
B
4,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.