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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Cadiz
U S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Sociedad
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
44%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
22%
56%
Both score Ø 28%
22%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,9
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
2 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
3 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 6. · Sociedad 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 9 6 2 1 +16 20
2 Ath Madrid 8 6 2 0 +16 20
3 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +4 19
4 Real Madrid 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Granada 8 4 2 2 -2 14
6 Cadiz 9 4 2 3 -2 14
7 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 +3 13
8 Getafe 9 3 3 3 -1 12
9 Elche 8 3 3 2 -1 12
10 Betis 9 4 0 5 -5 12
11 Barcelona 8 3 2 3 +6 11
12 Valencia 9 3 2 4 +1 11
13 Osasuna 9 3 2 4 -1 11
14 Eibar 10 2 4 4 -3 10
15 Ath Bilbao 8 3 0 5 -2 9
16 Alaves 9 2 3 4 -3 9
17 Levante 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Huesca 10 0 7 3 -8 7
19 Celta 10 1 4 5 -11 7
20 Valladolid 9 1 3 5 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Sociedad
Jon Ander Garrido 🟨
13′
Fali 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–0
Álvaro Giménez 🔁
↦ Jon Garrido
46′
Alejo 🔁
↦ F. Malbašić
57′
Carlos Akapo 🔁
↦ Isaac Carcelén
57′
66′
A. Isak 0–1
A. Januzaj
Alberto Perea 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
72′
Y. Bodiger 🔁
↦ Salvi
72′
74′
🔁 Willian José
↦ A. Isak
74′
🔁 Portu
↦ A. Januzaj
84′
🔁 Jon Guridi
↦ Mikel Merino
85′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
88′
🟨 Ander Guevara
91′
🔁 Martín Zubimendi
↦ Guevara
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
4 M. López D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex F
5 Jon Garrido M
7 Salvi M
2 J. Jønsson M
25 Jairo Izquierdo M
24 F. Malbašić F
Bench (11)
21 Álvaro Giménez
14 Alejo
15 Carlos Akapo
10 Alberto Perea
12 Y. Bodiger
23 Nano
13 David Gil
19 Alcalá
11 Jorge Pombo
33 Manuel Nieto
32 B. Adekanye

Coach: Álvaro

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Remiro G
20 Nacho Monreal D
2 Zaldúa D
6 Elustondo D
21 David Silva M
11 A. Januzaj M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Zubeldía D
16 Guevara M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
19 A. Isak F
Bench (12)
9 Willian José
7 Portu
14 Jon Guridi
22 Barrenetxea
36 Martín Zubimendi
13 Moyà
34 Gaizka Ayesa
28 Roberto López
12 Aihen Muñoz
17 Martín Merquelanz
25 Jon Bautista
37 Urko González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,39
U
3,64
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.