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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro
Granada
T T S U T
0–0
Full-time
Celta
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 7. · Celta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 19 16 2 1 +30 50
2 Real Madrid 20 12 4 4 +17 40
3 Sevilla 20 12 3 5 +12 39
4 Barcelona 19 11 4 4 +22 37
5 Villarreal 21 8 11 2 +9 35
6 Sociedad 21 8 8 5 +13 32
7 Granada 20 8 4 8 -10 28
8 Betis 20 8 3 9 -8 27
9 Levante 20 6 8 6 +0 26
10 Ath Bilbao 19 7 3 9 +3 24
11 Getafe 20 6 6 8 -6 24
12 Celta 20 6 6 8 -7 24
13 Cadiz 21 6 6 9 -12 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 -2 23
15 Eibar 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Valladolid 21 4 8 9 -11 20
17 Osasuna 20 4 7 9 -10 19
18 Alaves 21 4 7 10 -11 19
19 Elche 19 3 8 8 -10 17
20 Huesca 21 2 10 9 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Celta
Yangel Herrera 🟨
12′
24′
🟨 Brais Méndez
39′
🟨 Nolito
Dimitri Foulquier 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
53′
60′
🔁 A. Solari
↦ Nolito
60′
🔁 J. Holsgrove
↦ Fran Beltrán
Soldado 🔁
↦ L. Suárez
67′
69′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Alberto Soro 🔁
↦ Kenedy
83′
90′
🟨 Santi Mina
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
2 D. Foulquier D
20 Vallejo D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
19 Montoro M
14 Fede Vico M
24 Kenedy M
21 Y. Herrera M
11 D. Machís M
7 L. Suárez F
Bench (10)
10 Antonio Puertas
9 Soldado
26 Alberto Soro
23 Jorge Molina
3 N. Pérez
16 Víctor Díaz
28 Pepe Sánchez
13 Aarón Escandell
31 Arnau Fàbrega
6 Germán Sánchez

Coach: Diego Martínez

Celta

4-1-3-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
4 N. Araújo D
19 Aarón Martín D
14 R. Tapia M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (8)
21 A. Solari
39 J. Holsgrove
18 J. Aidoo
27 Miguel Baeza
29 José Fontán
11 E. Mor
20 Kevin Vázquez
1 Iván Villar

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
3,24
B
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.