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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Real Madrid

S S S U S

5–2

Full-time

Celta

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,3

Scored

2,7

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 11

11 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 5. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Osasuna	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Levante	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Elche	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Granada	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Celta	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Osasuna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Betis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.