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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Granada
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Valencia
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 13. · Valencia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Valencia
1–0 L. Suárez
C. Bacca
16′
Monchu 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Luis Milla 🔁
↦ Monchu
46′
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ L. Abram
46′
Domingos Duarte 🟨
48′
Germán Sánchez 🟨
49′
65′
🟨 Omar Alderete
Jorge Molina 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
67′
D. Machís 🔁
↦ L. Suárez
72′
78′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Gonçalo Guedes
81′
🟨 Thierry Correia
88′
Carlos Soler 1–1
Maxime Gonalons 🟨
90′
Domingos Duarte ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
91′
91′
ℹ️ Domingos Duarte
VAR: Goal confirmed
91′
🔁 Jason
↦ Carlos Soler
95′
🔁 M. Diakhaby
↦ D. Cheryshev
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Granada

5-3-2
13 Aarón Escandell G
6 Germán Sánchez D
2 D. Foulquier D
18 L. Abram D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
19 Montoro M
4 M. Gonalons M
14 Monchu M
20 C. Bacca F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
5 Luis Milla
10 Antonio Puertas
23 Jorge Molina
11 D. Machís
7 Alberto Soro
26 Ismael Ruiz
17 Quini
28 Raúl Torrente
16 Víctor Díaz
1 Luís Maximiano
8 Y. Eteki

Coach: Robert Moreno

Valencia

4-4-2
28 G. Mamardashvili G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayà D
15 O. Alderete D
2 Thierry Correia D
18 D. Wass M
17 D. Cheryshev M
7 Gonçalo Guedes F
10 Carlos Soler M
8 U. Račić M
9 M. Gómez F
Bench (8)
21 Manu Vallejo
12 M. Diakhaby
23 Jason
11 Sobrino
13 J. Cillessen
32 Jesús Vázquez
27 K. Koindredi
34 Joseda

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
3,25
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.