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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Vallecano
S S T T T
4–0
Full-time
Granada
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Granada 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Valencia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Mallorca 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Granada 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Osasuna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Betis 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Elche 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Celta 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Getafe 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Granada
1–0 Álvaro García
Ó. Trejo
3′
2–0 Ó. Trejo
23′
27′
🟨 Luis Javier Suárez
33′
🟨 Luis Milla
33′
🟨 Antonio Puertas
Ismaila Ciss 🟨
38′
3–0 R. Nteka
Ó. Trejo
43′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Antonio Puertas
Óscar Valentín 🔁
↦ P. Ciss
57′
4–0 Santi Comesaña
58′
63′
🔁 Quini
↦ Víctor Díaz
63′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ Luis Milla
Andrés Martín 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
70′
Isi Palazón 🔁
↦ Martín Merquelanz
70′
78′
🔁 Rochina
↦ L. Suárez
78′
🔁 Monchu
↦ Montoro
Kévin Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Álvaro García
83′
Bebé 🔁
↦ R. Nteka
84′
93′
🟨 Quini
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
24 E. Saveljich D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
18 Álvaro García M
6 Santi Comesaña M
21 P. Ciss M
9 R. Nteka F
8 Ó. Trejo M
17 Martín Merquelanz M
Bench (12)
23 Óscar Valentín
11 Andrés Martín
7 Isi Palazón
19 Kévin Rodrigues
10 Bebé
1 L. Zidane
32 Mario Hernández
28 Jorge Moreno
27 Iker Recio
22 José Ángel Pozo
14 Y. Qasmi
4 Mario Suárez

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Granada

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Víctor Díaz D
6 Germán Sánchez D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
19 Montoro M
4 M. Gonalons M
10 Antonio Puertas F
5 Luis Milla M
20 C. Bacca F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
23 Jorge Molina
17 Quini
8 Y. Eteki
21 Rochina
14 Monchu
1 Luís Maximiano
28 Raúl Torrente
7 Alberto Soro
26 Ismael Ruiz
18 L. Abram
31 C. Sarr

Coach: Robert Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,20
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.