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Primeira Liga
Referee: Miguel Nogueira
Boavista
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Estoril
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 13
0 Offside 8
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 9. · Estoril 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 7 7 0 0 +15 21
2 Porto 7 5 2 0 +12 17
3 Sp Lisbon 7 5 2 0 +8 17
4 Estoril 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 Sp Braga 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Portimonense 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Pacos Ferreira 7 2 3 2 -2 9
8 Gil Vicente 7 2 2 3 +0 8
9 Boavista 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Guimaraes 7 1 4 2 +1 7
11 Vizela 7 1 4 2 -6 7
12 Maritimo 7 1 3 3 -3 6
13 Tondela 7 2 0 5 -4 6
14 Moreirense 7 1 3 3 -6 6
15 Arouca 7 1 2 4 -7 5
16 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 -10 5
17 Belenenses 7 0 4 3 -5 4
18 Famalicao 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Estoril
Nathan Santos ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
23′
1–0 Gustavo Sauer
24′
Half-time 1–0
Kenji Gorré 🟨
47′
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ K. Gorré
66′
67′
🔁 António Xavier
↦ Arthur Gomes
67′
🔁 André Franco
↦ Gamboa
68′
🟨 Chiquinho
71′
André Franco 1–1
Francisco Geraldes
I. Vukotić 🔁
↦ S. Pérez
74′
Filipe Ferreira 🟨
76′
Tomás Reymão 🔁
↦ G. Makouta
82′
Y. Njie 🔁
↦ P. Musa
82′
86′
🔁 André
↦ Rui Fonte
87′
🟨 Joãozinho
91′
🔁 Romário Baró
↦ Francisco Geraldes
92′
🔁 Bruno Lourenço
↦ Chiquinho
Alireza Beiranvand 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Boavista

3-4-3
90 A. Beiranvand G
20 Filipe Ferreira M
26 R. Abascal D
21 J. Porozo D
22 Nathan M
6 Javi García D
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
7 K. Gorré F
8 Gustavo Sauer F
9 P. Musa F
Bench (9)
36 P. Ntep
18 I. Vukotić
14 Tomás Reymão
11 Y. Njie
3 Marcelo Djaló
1 Rafael Bracali
4 Tiago Ilori
79 Pedro Malheiro
73 Tiago Morais

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Estoril

4-2-3-1
99 Daniel Leite G
31 Joãozinho D
4 Lucas Áfrico D
2 Carles Soria D
97 Patrick William D
6 Francisco Geraldes M
21 Gamboa M
11 Arthur Gomes M
32 L. Rosier M
17 Rui Fonte F
7 Chiquinho M
Bench (9)
92 António Xavier
10 André Franco
9 André
58 Romário Baró
20 Bruno Lourenço
18 L. Acevedo
28 N. Ferraresi
22 David Bruno
12 Thiago

Coach: Bruno Pinheiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U ✓
3,03
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Nogueira · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.