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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Vallecano
S T S T S
0–0
Full-time
Celta
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
27%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 36%
45%
27%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Celta 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 12 7 4 1 +7 25
2 Real Madrid 11 7 3 1 +14 24
3 Sevilla 11 7 3 1 +12 24
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 +8 22
5 Betis 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Vallecano 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Osasuna 12 5 4 3 -1 19
8 Ath Bilbao 11 4 6 1 +4 18
9 Barcelona 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Valencia 12 4 4 4 +1 16
11 Espanol 12 3 5 4 -1 14
12 Mallorca 12 3 5 4 -6 14
13 Villarreal 11 2 6 3 +1 12
14 Celta 11 3 1 7 -4 10
15 Elche 12 2 4 6 -6 10
16 Alaves 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Cadiz 12 1 6 5 -8 9
18 Granada 10 1 5 4 -6 8
19 Levante 11 0 6 5 -9 6
20 Getafe 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Celta
23′
🔁 A. Solari
↦ Santi Mina
45′
🟨 Javi Galán
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Augusto Solari
61′
🔁 Nolito
↦ Fran Beltrán
61′
🔁 José Fontán
↦ Javier Galán
Ó. Trejo 🔁
↦ Unai López
63′
Óscar Valentín 🟨
65′
Isi Palazón 🟨
69′
69′
🟨 Brais Méndez
70′
🟨 Jose Fontán
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ Isi Palazón
73′
Bebé 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
73′
80′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ Thiago Galhardo
80′
🔁 Iago Aspas
↦ Denis Suárez
81′
🟨 Renato Tapia
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ Álvaro García
87′
P. Ciss 🔁
↦ Óscar Valentín
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
2 N. Maraš D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
12 Unai López M
18 Álvaro García M
23 Óscar Valentín M
6 Santi Comesaña M
3 R. Falcao F
7 Isi Palazón M
Bench (12)
8 Ó. Trejo
9 R. Nteka
10 Bebé
16 Sergi Guardiola
21 P. Ciss
11 Andrés Martín
32 Mario Hernández
1 L. Zidane
4 Mario Suárez
14 Y. Qasmi
19 Kévin Rodrigues
22 José Ángel Pozo

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
24 J. Murillo D
4 N. Araujo D
20 Kevin Vázquez D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
7 Thiago Galhardo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (10)
21 A. Solari
9 Nolito
19 José Fontán
5 O. Yokuşlu
10 Iago Aspas
26 Gaizka Campos
11 F. Cervi
16 Miguel Baeza
15 J. Aidoo
28 Carlos Domínguez

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,33
B
3,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.