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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Nantes

U T S T S

3–1

Full-time

Paris SG

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 59%

42%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

28% Possession 72%

13 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 10. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	24	18	5	1	+33	59
2	Marseille	24	13	7	4	+17	46
3	Nice	24	13	4	7	+15	43
4	Strasbourg	24	12	5	7	+17	41
5	Lyon	25	10	9	6	+3	39
6	Rennes	24	11	4	9	+21	37
7	Monaco	24	10	7	7	+11	37
8	Lens	25	10	7	8	+4	37
9	Lille	25	9	9	7	-3	36
10	Nantes	24	10	5	9	+3	35
11	Montpellier	24	10	4	10	+4	34
12	Brest	24	8	7	9	-3	31
13	Angers	24	7	8	9	-5	29
14	Reims	24	6	9	9	-1	27
15	Clermont	24	6	6	12	-17	24
16	Troyes	24	5	6	13	-15	21
17	Lorient	24	4	9	11	-18	21
18	Metz	25	4	9	12	-20	21
19	St Etienne	24	5	6	13	-21	21
20	Bordeaux	24	4	8	12	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+10	26
3	Rennes	12	8	1	3	+19	25
4	Monaco	13	7	4	2	+14	25
5	Strasbourg	12	7	2	3	+14	23
6	Lens	13	6	5	2	+9	23
7	Montpellier	13	7	2	4	+8	23
8	Nantes	12	7	2	3	+7	23
9	Marseille	12	5	5	2	+9	20
10	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
11	Brest	12	5	3	4	+3	18
12	Nice	12	5	3	4	+2	18
13	Lorient	11	4	4	3	+1	16
14	Angers	12	5	1	6	-1	16
15	Reims	11	4	3	4	+5	15
16	Clermont	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	St Etienne	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	12	8	2	2	+8	26
2	Nice	12	8	1	3	+13	25
3	Paris SG	12	7	4	1	+11	25
4	Strasbourg	12	5	3	4	+3	18
5	Lille	13	4	4	5	-2	16
6	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
7	Metz	13	3	5	5	-10	14
8	Angers	12	2	7	3	-4	13
9	Brest	12	3	4	5	-6	13
10	Lyon	12	3	4	5	-7	13
11	Rennes	12	3	3	6	+2	12
12	Monaco	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
14	Reims	13	2	6	5	-6	12
15	Montpellier	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	St Etienne	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	Clermont	12	3	2	7	-14	11
18	Troyes	12	3	1	8	-13	10
19	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-20	10
20	Lorient	13	0	5	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.