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Championship
Referee: J Linington
Derby
T U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Peterboro
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Peterboro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Championship · 32/30 matches
Win Ø 23%
28%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
56%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 0
8 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Derby 18. · Peterboro 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 32 20 7 5 +52 67
2 Bournemouth 31 17 8 6 +23 59
3 Blackburn 33 16 9 8 +16 57
4 Huddersfield 32 14 11 7 +9 53
5 Sheffield United 31 15 7 9 +12 52
6 West Brom 33 14 10 9 +12 52
7 Middlesbrough 31 15 7 9 +11 52
8 QPR 32 15 7 10 +9 52
9 Preston 34 13 12 9 +2 51
10 Coventry 32 14 8 10 +9 50
11 Luton 30 13 8 9 +8 47
12 Nott'm Forest 30 13 7 10 +10 46
13 Stoke 31 13 7 11 +8 46
14 Blackpool 32 12 8 12 -1 44
15 Millwall 32 11 10 11 -1 43
16 Swansea 31 11 8 12 -4 41
17 Bristol City 33 11 7 15 -15 40
18 Derby 32 9 12 11 -4 39
19 Cardiff 33 11 6 16 -8 39
20 Birmingham 34 9 10 15 -15 37
21 Hull 33 9 6 18 -11 33
22 Reading 33 9 6 18 -22 33
23 Peterboro 30 5 6 19 -37 21
24 Peterborough 30 5 6 19 -37 21
25 Barnsley 31 3 9 19 -26 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Aug -21 Peterboro – Derby 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,49
B
4,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.