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Eredivisie

Referee: I Oostrom

AZ Alkmaar

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Heracles

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 20/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

60%

27%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

70%

41%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

13 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Heracles 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	18	3	2	+65	57
2	PSV Eindhoven	22	16	1	5	+26	49
3	Feyenoord	22	15	3	4	+33	48
4	Twente	22	12	5	5	+7	41
5	AZ Alkmaar	20	12	2	6	+15	38
6	Utrecht	21	10	5	6	+11	35
7	Vitesse	20	10	2	8	-10	32
8	Nijmegen	23	8	7	8	-4	31
9	Cambuur	22	9	3	10	-9	30
10	Groningen	22	6	7	9	-6	25
11	Heerenveen	21	7	4	10	-9	25
12	Heracles	22	6	5	11	-7	23
13	Waalwijk	23	5	8	10	-12	23
14	Go Ahead Eagles	22	6	4	12	-16	22
15	Willem II	23	6	3	14	-21	21
16	For Sittard	22	5	4	13	-26	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	8	11	-18	17
18	Zwolle	22	4	4	14	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+43	28
2	Feyenoord	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	2	1	+14	23
6	Twente	10	6	3	1	+9	21
7	Heracles	12	6	3	3	+4	21
8	Cambuur	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Willem II	12	4	1	7	-8	13
10	Waalwijk	11	4	1	6	-9	13
11	Groningen	11	2	6	3	+0	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	0	7	-5	12
13	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Nijmegen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Vitesse	9	3	1	5	-11	10
18	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+15	23
4	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
5	Nijmegen	12	6	3	3	+0	21
6	Twente	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Cambuur	11	5	2	4	-5	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-3	14
10	Groningen	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Utrecht	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Waalwijk	12	1	7	4	-3	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	4	5	-11	10
14	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
15	For Sittard	12	2	2	8	-16	8
16	Zwolle	11	2	1	8	-14	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	10	0	2	8	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.