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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Ath Madrid
S S S T S
0–0
Full-time
Granada
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
56%
19%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
66%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
63%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Granada 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 32 23 6 3 +38 75
2 Barcelona 31 17 9 5 +28 60
3 Sevilla 32 16 12 4 +21 60
4 Ath Madrid 32 18 6 8 +20 60
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 32 15 10 7 +2 55
7 Villarreal 33 14 10 9 +22 52
8 Ath Bilbao 32 11 12 9 +4 45
9 Osasuna 32 12 8 12 -8 44
10 Valencia 33 10 12 11 -4 42
11 Celta 32 10 9 13 +1 39
12 Espanol 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Elche 33 10 8 15 -8 38
14 Vallecano 31 9 7 15 -6 34
15 Getafe 32 7 11 14 -8 32
16 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
17 Cadiz 32 6 13 13 -16 31
18 Granada 32 6 11 15 -20 29
19 Levante 32 5 10 17 -23 25
20 Alaves 33 6 7 20 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Granada
3′
🟨 Quini
Reinildo Isnard Mandava 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
Š. Vrsaljko 🔁
↦ Javier Serrano
46′
L. Suárez 🔁
↦ Reinildo
46′
Stefan Savić 🟨
49′
58′
🟨 Sergio Escudero
62′
🔁 M. Uzuni
↦ D. Machís
Renan Lodi 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
66′
Matheus Cunha 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
70′
74′
🟨 Víctor Díaz
76′
🔁 C. Bacca
↦ L. Suárez
76′
🔁 Montoro
↦ Álex Collado
Rodrigo de Paul 🟨
78′
83′
🟨 Antonio Puertas
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 Dani Raba
↦ Antonio Puertas
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ Marcos Llorente
91′
92′
🟨 Domingos Duarte
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-5-2
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
23 Reinildo D
22 Hermoso D
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
5 R. De Paul M
14 Marcos Llorente M
26 Javier Serrano M
8 A. Griezmann F
10 Á. Correa F
Bench (10)
24 Š. Vrsaljko
9 L. Suárez
12 Renan Lodi
19 Matheus Cunha
27 G. Simeone
17 D. Wass
32 Marco Moreno
36 Carlos Martín
28 Alberto Moreno
1 B. Lecomte

Coach: D. Simeone

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
16 Víctor Díaz D
3 Escudero D
17 Quini D
22 Domingos Duarte D
10 Antonio Puertas M
5 Luis Milla M
18 N. Petrović M
35 Álex Collado M
11 D. Machís M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
24 M. Uzuni
20 C. Bacca
19 Montoro
12 Dani Raba
31 C. Sarr
26 Ismael Ruiz
29 Sergio Barcia
36 Miguel Brau
8 Y. Eteki
27 Pepe Sánchez
13 Aarón Escandell
14 M. Arezo

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,30
U ✓
5,43
B
10,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.