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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Barcelona

T S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Celta

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 44%

57%

31%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

54%

34%

Both score Ø 47%

57%

37%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	35	25	6	4	+43	81
2	Barcelona	35	20	9	6	+30	69
3	Sevilla	35	17	14	4	+22	65
4	Ath Madrid	35	19	7	9	+19	64
5	Betis	36	18	7	11	+20	61
6	Sociedad	35	15	11	9	+0	56
7	Villarreal	35	14	11	10	+21	53
8	Ath Bilbao	36	13	13	10	+6	52
9	Osasuna	35	12	10	13	-10	46
10	Valencia	36	10	14	12	-7	44
11	Celta	35	11	10	14	+3	43
12	Vallecano	35	11	9	15	-4	42
13	Espanol	35	10	10	15	-12	40
14	Elche	35	10	9	16	-11	39
15	Getafe	35	8	13	14	-6	37
16	Granada	36	8	13	15	-15	37
17	Cadiz	35	7	14	14	-14	35
18	Mallorca	35	8	8	19	-30	32
19	Levante	35	6	11	18	-23	29
20	Alaves	35	7	7	21	-32	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	12	4	1	+25	40
2	Ath Madrid	18	12	4	2	+17	40
3	Sevilla	17	11	5	1	+18	38
4	Villarreal	18	10	6	2	+23	36
5	Barcelona	17	11	2	4	+18	35
6	Espanol	18	9	5	4	+6	32
7	Sociedad	17	9	5	3	+5	32
8	Ath Bilbao	18	9	4	5	+9	31
9	Betis	18	9	2	7	+10	29
10	Vallecano	17	8	5	4	+10	29
11	Getafe	18	7	6	5	+6	27
12	Elche	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Mallorca	18	6	6	6	-6	24
14	Valencia	18	5	8	5	+0	23
15	Celta	18	6	4	8	+2	22
16	Alaves	17	6	4	7	-4	22
17	Granada	18	5	6	7	-7	21
18	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-7	21
19	Levante	18	4	7	7	-4	19
20	Cadiz	18	3	8	7	-5	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	2	3	+18	41
2	Barcelona	18	9	7	2	+12	34
3	Betis	18	9	5	4	+10	32
4	Sevilla	18	6	9	3	+4	27
5	Osasuna	18	7	4	7	-3	25
6	Ath Madrid	17	7	3	7	+2	24
7	Sociedad	18	6	6	6	-5	24
8	Celta	17	5	6	6	+1	21
9	Ath Bilbao	18	4	9	5	-3	21
10	Valencia	18	5	6	7	-7	21
11	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Villarreal	17	4	5	8	-2	17
13	Granada	18	3	7	8	-8	16
14	Elche	18	4	3	11	-14	15
15	Vallecano	18	3	4	11	-14	13
16	Getafe	17	1	7	9	-12	10
17	Levante	17	2	4	11	-19	10
18	Espanol	17	1	5	11	-18	8
19	Mallorca	17	2	2	13	-24	8
20	Alaves	18	1	3	14	-28	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.