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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Celta

T T S T U

4–0

Full-time

Alaves

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 25%

29%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

32%

47%

Both score Ø 43%

38%

47%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celta 12. · Alaves 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	34	25	6	3	+44	81
2	Barcelona	34	19	9	6	+29	66
3	Sevilla	34	17	13	4	+22	64
4	Ath Madrid	34	18	7	9	+18	61
5	Betis	34	17	7	10	+18	58
6	Sociedad	35	15	11	9	+0	56
7	Villarreal	34	14	10	10	+21	52
8	Ath Bilbao	35	13	13	9	+7	52
9	Osasuna	34	12	9	13	-10	45
10	Valencia	35	10	14	11	-4	44
11	Vallecano	34	11	8	15	-4	41
12	Celta	34	10	10	14	-1	40
13	Elche	34	10	9	15	-8	39
14	Espanol	34	10	9	15	-12	39
15	Getafe	34	8	12	14	-6	36
16	Granada	35	7	13	15	-16	34
17	Cadiz	34	6	14	14	-17	32
18	Mallorca	35	8	8	19	-30	32
19	Levante	35	6	11	18	-23	29
20	Alaves	34	7	7	20	-28	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	12	4	1	+25	40
2	Sevilla	17	11	5	1	+18	38
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	4	2	+16	37
4	Villarreal	17	10	5	2	+23	35
5	Barcelona	17	11	2	4	+18	35
6	Sociedad	17	9	5	3	+5	32
7	Ath Bilbao	18	9	4	5	+9	31
8	Espanol	17	9	4	4	+6	31
9	Betis	17	9	2	6	+11	29
10	Vallecano	17	8	5	4	+10	29
11	Getafe	17	7	5	5	+6	26
12	Elche	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Mallorca	18	6	6	6	-6	24
14	Valencia	17	5	8	4	+3	23
15	Alaves	17	6	4	7	-4	22
16	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-7	21
17	Celta	17	5	4	8	-2	19
18	Levante	18	4	7	7	-4	19
19	Granada	17	4	6	7	-8	18
20	Cadiz	17	2	8	7	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+19	41
2	Barcelona	17	8	7	2	+11	31
3	Betis	17	8	5	4	+7	29
4	Sevilla	17	6	8	3	+4	26
5	Ath Madrid	17	7	3	7	+2	24
6	Osasuna	17	7	3	7	-3	24
7	Sociedad	18	6	6	6	-5	24
8	Celta	17	5	6	6	+1	21
9	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	-2	21
10	Valencia	18	5	6	7	-7	21
11	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Villarreal	17	4	5	8	-2	17
13	Granada	18	3	7	8	-8	16
14	Elche	17	4	3	10	-11	15
15	Vallecano	17	3	3	11	-14	12
16	Getafe	17	1	7	9	-12	10
17	Levante	17	2	4	11	-19	10
18	Espanol	17	1	5	11	-18	8
19	Mallorca	17	2	2	13	-24	8
20	Alaves	17	1	3	13	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.