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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Barcelona

S S S S T

4–1

Full-time

Celta

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

2,8

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 41%

64%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

73%

17%

Both score Ø 44%

55%

33%

Average goals

3,9

1,8

Scored

2,6

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+16	25
2	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+7	23
3	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+15	22
4	Ath Madrid	12	5	6	1	+5	21
5	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Granada	13	6	2	5	+2	20
7	Valencia	13	5	5	3	+1	20
8	Getafe	12	5	4	3	+3	19
9	Villarreal	12	5	3	4	+9	18
10	Osasuna	12	4	6	2	+3	18
11	Ath Bilbao	12	4	5	3	+4	17
12	Levante	12	5	2	5	+1	17
13	Valladolid	13	4	5	4	-3	17
14	Alaves	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Eibar	13	4	3	6	-7	15
16	Betis	12	3	4	5	-7	13
17	Mallorca	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Celta	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Espanol	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Leganes	13	1	3	9	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Alaves	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+9	12
7	Osasuna	6	3	3	0	+5	12
8	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
9	Granada	6	4	0	2	+3	12
10	Getafe	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Levante	6	3	2	1	+4	11
12	Betis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
15	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+5	10
16	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
17	Eibar	6	3	0	3	-4	9
18	Celta	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-6	4
20	Espanol	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+2	13
2	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+6	11
3	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
4	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Granada	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Getafe	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Villarreal	6	2	0	4	+0	6
12	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Eibar	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Celta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
18	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
19	Alaves	6	0	1	5	-11	1
20	Mallorca	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.