← Match Finder
La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Barcelona
S T S U U
1–2
Full-time
Celta
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Barcelona Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 50%
64%
36%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Celta 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 36 24 8 4 +40 80
2 Real Madrid 36 23 9 4 +37 78
3 Barcelona 36 23 7 6 +47 76
4 Sevilla 36 23 5 8 +23 74
5 Sociedad 36 15 11 10 +17 56
6 Villarreal 36 14 13 9 +13 55
7 Betis 36 15 10 11 -2 55
8 Celta 36 13 11 12 -2 50
9 Ath Bilbao 36 11 13 12 +7 46
10 Granada 36 13 6 17 -16 45
11 Osasuna 36 11 11 14 -9 44
12 Cadiz 36 11 10 15 -20 43
13 Levante 36 9 13 14 -10 40
14 Valencia 36 9 12 15 -6 39
15 Alaves 36 8 11 17 -22 35
16 Getafe 36 8 10 18 -16 34
17 Huesca 36 7 12 17 -18 33
18 Valladolid 36 5 16 15 -19 31
19 Eibar 36 6 12 18 -19 30
20 Elche 36 6 12 18 -25 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Celta
1–0 L. Messi
Sergio Busquets
28′
38′
Santi Mina 1–1
Iago Aspas
Half-time 1–1
Riqui Puig 🔁
↦ Pedri
46′
51′
🟨 Carlos Dominguez
Riqui Puig 🟨
56′
S. Dest 🔁
↦ Piqué
64′
69′
🔁 A. Solari
↦ Nolito
M. Braithwaite 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
70′
Trincão 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
70′
Clément Lenglet 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 Miguel Baeza
↦ Iago Aspas
Clément Lenglet 🟨
83′
Clément Lenglet 🟥
83′
M. Pjanić 🔁
↦ Ilaix Kourouma
86′
89′
🟨 Brais Méndez
89′
Santi Mina 1–2
93′
🔁 Hugo Sotelo
↦ Fran Beltrán
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Barcelona

3-1-4-2
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
4 Ronald Araújo D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
5 Sergio Busquets M
11 Ousmane Dembélé M
27 Ilaix Moriba M
16 Pedri M
18 Jordi Alba M
7 Antoine Griezmann F
10 Lionel Messi F
Bench (10)
36 Arnau Tenas
13 Neto
23 Samuel Umtiti
24 Junior Firpo
2 Sergiño Dest
8 Miralem Pjanić
12 Riqui Puig
19 Matheus Fernandes
9 Martin Braithwaite
17 Francisco Trincão

Celta

4-4-2
1 Iván Villar G
20 Kevin Vazquez D
4 Néstor Araujo D
40 Carlos Dominguez D
19 Aarón Martin Caricol D
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltran M
6 Denis Suárez M
9 Nolito M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (6)
41 Patrick Sequeira
17 David Juncà
18 Joseph Aidoo
27 Miguel Baeza
44 Hugo Sotelo
21 Augusto Solari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,24
U
6,69
B ✓
10,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
3,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.