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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Barcelona
S S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Mallorca
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 40%
55%
24%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
6 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Mallorca 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 34 25 6 3 +44 81
2 Sevilla 34 17 13 4 +22 64
3 Barcelona 33 18 9 6 +28 63
4 Ath Madrid 34 18 7 9 +18 61
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 34 15 11 8 +1 56
7 Villarreal 34 14 10 10 +21 52
8 Ath Bilbao 34 13 12 9 +7 51
9 Osasuna 34 12 9 13 -10 45
10 Valencia 34 10 13 11 -4 43
11 Vallecano 34 11 8 15 -4 41
12 Celta 34 10 10 14 -1 40
13 Elche 34 10 9 15 -8 39
14 Espanol 34 10 9 15 -12 39
15 Getafe 33 8 11 14 -6 35
16 Cadiz 34 6 14 14 -17 32
17 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
18 Granada 34 6 13 15 -20 31
19 Alaves 34 7 7 20 -28 28
20 Levante 34 5 11 18 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Mallorca
1–0 M. Depay
Jordi Alba
25′
Eric García 🔁
↦ Piqué
28′
Gavi 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Sergio Busquets
54′
59′
🔁 T. Kubo
↦ Fer Niño
60′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ Dani Rodríguez
63′
🟨 Antonio Raíllo
64′
🟨 Clément Grenier
70′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ R. Battaglia
70′
🔁 Salva Sevilla
↦ Antonio Sánchez
Ferran Torres ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ P. Aubameyang
75′
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Ferran Torres
75′
79′
Raíllo 2–1
Salva Sevilla
C. Lenglet 🔁
↦ Dani Alves
89′
89′
🔁 M. Hoppe
↦ Ángel
Jordi Alba 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Pablo Maffeo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
8 Dani Alves D
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
4 R. Araujo D
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
30 Gavi M
25 P. Aubameyang F
9 M. Depay F
19 Ferran Torres F
Bench (10)
24 Eric García
10 Ansu Fati
7 O. Dembélé
15 C. Lenglet
36 Arnau Tenas
11 Adama Traoré
23 S. Umtiti
13 Neto
17 L. de Jong
6 Riqui Puig

Coach: Xavi

Mallorca

3-4-1-2
25 Sergio Rico G
21 Raíllo D
3 Brian Oliván M
15 Pablo Maffeo M
24 M. Valjent D
5 F. Russo D
14 Dani Rodríguez F
16 R. Battaglia M
10 Antonio Sánchez M
22 Ángel F
26 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
17 T. Kubo
6 C. Grenier
19 Lee Kang-In
8 Salva Sevilla
11 M. Hoppe
34 Javier Llabrés
31 Leo Román
2 G. González
12 I. Baba
1 Manolo Reina
37 Marcos Fernández
9 Abdón Prats

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
5,60
B
9,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.