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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Ath Bilbao

U S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Valladolid

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 7%

13%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,4

1,9

Scored

0,9

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Valladolid 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	1	2	+13	19
2	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Granada	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Sociedad	9	5	1	3	+6	16
5	Ath Madrid	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+7	14
7	Getafe	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Valencia	9	3	4	2	+0	13
9	Sevilla	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Ath Bilbao	8	3	3	2	+3	12
11	Levante	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Osasuna	9	2	5	2	-1	11
13	Alaves	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Valladolid	8	2	4	2	-1	10
15	Mallorca	9	3	1	5	-5	10
16	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Celta	9	2	3	4	-6	9
18	Betis	9	2	3	4	-7	9
19	Espanol	9	1	2	6	-11	5
20	Leganes	9	0	2	7	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Mallorca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Granada	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
10	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
11	Levante	4	2	2	0	+3	8
12	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Osasuna	4	1	3	0	+1	6
16	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
17	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Espanol	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	-1	9
2	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+2	7
5	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	+1	6
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Ath Bilbao	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Eibar	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Celta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Betis	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Mallorca	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.