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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González Fuertes
Mallorca
S T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,13 xG 1,13
32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
7 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 16. · Sociedad 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 25 19 5 1 +37 +23.3 62
2 Girona 24 17 5 2 +23 +6.7 56
3 Barcelona 25 16 6 3 +18 +28.6 54
4 Ath Madrid 25 16 3 6 +24 +16.0 51
5 Ath Bilbao 24 13 7 4 +21 +17.0 46
6 Betis 24 9 11 4 +3 -2.5 38
7 Sociedad 24 9 10 5 +10 +3.0 37
8 Valencia 25 10 6 9 +0 -1.6 36
9 Las Palmas 25 10 5 10 +0 -15.7 35
10 Getafe 25 8 10 7 -1 -5.4 34
11 Osasuna 25 9 5 11 -7 -4.3 32
12 Alaves 24 7 6 11 -7 +3.5 27
13 Villarreal 25 6 8 11 -12 -4.8 26
14 Vallecano 25 5 10 10 -11 -2.1 25
15 Sevilla 25 5 9 11 -7 -11.8 24
16 Mallorca 24 4 11 9 -10 -5.5 23
17 Celta 25 4 8 13 -10 -4.8 20
18 Cadiz 25 2 11 12 -20 -16.8 17
19 Granada 25 2 8 15 -22 -13.2 14
20 Almeria 25 0 8 17 -29 -9.5 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Sociedad
Dani Rodríguez 🟨
-5′
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟥
-5′
1–0 Antonio Sánchez
Cyle Larin
4′
Antonio Sánchez 🟨
31′
38′
Takefusa Kubo 1–1
Igor Zubeldia
41′
🟨 Robin Le Normand
Half-time 1–1
Predrag Rajković 🟨
46′
Antonio Raíllo 🟨
49′
Antonio Raíllo 🟨
49′
Antonio Raíllo 🟥
49′
61′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Antonio Sánchez
64′
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ Cyle Larin
64′
64′
🔁 Ander Barrenetxea
↦ Arsen Zakharyan
64′
🔁 Jon Pacheco
↦ Igor Zubeldia
65′
🔁 André Silva
↦ Umar Sadiq
73′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ Brais Méndez
77′
🟨 Jon Pacheco
Sergi Darder 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
80′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
80′
Matija Nastasić 🟨
82′
Samuel Costa 🟨
90′
93′
Mikel Merino 1–2
Jon Pacheco
Sergi Darder 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Mikel Merino
96′
🟨 Beñat Turrientes
Vedat Muriqi 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 Predrag Rajković G
20 Giovanni González D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Antonio Raíllo D
2 Matija Nastasić D
11 Jaume Costa D
18 Antonio Sánchez M
12 Samuel Costa M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
17 Cyle Larin F
7 Vedat Muriqi F
Bench (12)
8 Manu Morlanes
9 Abdón Prats
3 Toni Lato
10 Sergi Darder
25 Iván Cuéllar
13 Dominik Greif
22 Nacho Vidal
4 Siebe Van Der Heyden
6 José Copete
5 Omar Mascarell
23 Nemanja Radonjić
19 Javi Llabrés

Coach: J. Aguirre

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Hamari Traoré D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
25 Javi Galán D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 Takefusa Kubo F
19 Umar Sadiq F
12 Arsen Zakharyan F
Bench (12)
20 Jon Pacheco
7 Ander Barrenetxea
21 André Silva
22 Beñat Turrientes
37 Aitor Fraga
13 Unai Marrero
41 Iñaki Rupérez Urtasun
15 Urko González
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
28 Jon Magunazelaia
39 Jon Aramburu
29 Pablo Marín

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,34
U
2,83
B ✓
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
3,25
U2,5
1,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González Fuertes · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.