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Serie B
Referee: L Marinelli
Venezia
S T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Modena
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
54%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
46%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 5. · Modena 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 25 16 6 3 +23 54
2 Cremonese 25 13 7 5 +16 46
3 Palermo 25 13 6 6 +16 45
4 Como 25 13 6 6 +5 45
5 Venezia 24 13 5 6 +14 44
6 Catanzaro 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Cittadella 25 10 6 9 -1 36
8 Brescia 25 8 9 8 +1 33
9 Bari 25 7 12 6 -2 33
10 Modena 24 8 9 7 -3 33
11 Cosenza 25 8 8 9 +2 32
12 Pisa 25 7 9 9 -1 30
13 Reggiana 25 6 12 7 -3 30
14 Sampdoria 25 8 6 11 -7 30
15 Sudtirol 25 7 7 11 -4 28
16 Ternana 25 6 7 12 -4 25
17 Spezia 25 5 10 10 -13 25
18 Ascoli 25 5 8 12 -7 23
19 FeralpiSalo 25 5 6 14 -14 21
20 Lecco 25 5 5 15 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Modena
Gianluca Busio ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
19′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Thomas Battistella
Francesco Zampano 🟨
49′
Francesco Zampano ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
1–0 J. Pohjanpalo
50′
54′
🔁 L. Magnino
↦ T. Battistella
61′
F. Gerli 1–1
L. Magnino
C. Gytkjær 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
68′
M. Olivieri 🔁
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
68′
2–1 J. Pohjanpalo
71′
75′
ℹ️ Ettore Gliozzi
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Tanner Tessmann 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Alessandro Pio Riccio
77′
A. Palumbo 2–2
78′
🔁 L. Tremolada
↦ F. Abiuso
M. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ G. Busio
90′
B. Bjarkason 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
90′
90′
🔁 J. Manconi
↦ A. Palumbo
98′
🟨 Fabio Gerli
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
1 J. Joronen G
4 J. Idzes D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
27 A. Candela M
8 T. Tessmann M
6 G. Busio M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
7 F. Zampano M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
10 N. Pierini F
Bench (11)
9 C. Gytkjær
99 M. Olivieri
77 M. Ellertsson
19 B. Bjarkason
25 A. Dembélé
15 G. Altare
12 Bruno
13 M. Modolo
21 D. Cheryshev
31 M. Ullmann
23 M. Grandi

Coach: P. Vanoli

Modena

3-5-2
12 A. Seculin G
27 A. Riccio D
33 C. Cauz D
4 A. Pergreffi D
8 S. Santoro M
23 T. Battistella M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
91 N. Corrado M
90 F. Abiuso F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (11)
6 L. Magnino
10 L. Tremolada
17 J. Manconi
22 F. Vandelli
73 L. Di Stefano
42 L. Mondele
24 R. Vukušić
30 K. Bozhanaj
29 M. Cotali
7 E. Duca
26 R. Gagno

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,61
B
4,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.