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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Valencia
T U T T U
1–2
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,01 xG 3,22
36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
7 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Apr -24 Barcelona – Valencia 4–2 16. Dec -23 Valencia – Barcelona 1–1 5. Mar -23 Barcelona – Valencia 1–0 29. Oct -22 Valencia – Barcelona 0–1 20. Feb -22 Valencia – Barcelona 1–4

Match report

Valencia Barcelona
Pepelu 🟨
38′
Hugo Duro ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
44′
1–0 Hugo Duro ⚽
Diego López
44′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Pau Cubarsí
49′
⚽ R. Lewandowski 1–1
Jesús Vázquez 🟨
50′
51′
⚽ R. Lewandowski 1–2
Lamine Yamal
64′
🔁 Pedri
↦ Ferran Torres
64′
🔁 A. Christensen
↦ Pau Cubarsí
64′
🔁 Gerard Martín
↦ Alejandro Balde
D. Foulquier 🔁
↦ Diego López
66′
Dani Gómez 🔁
↦ André Almeida
66′
69′
🟨 Andreas Christensen
71′
🔁 Eric García
↦ Marc Bernal
David Otorbi 🔁
↦ Rafa Mir
77′
Martín Tejón 🔁
↦ Jesús Vázquez
78′
81′
🟨 Jules Koundé
Hugo Guillamón 🔁
↦ Javi Guerra
86′
86′
🔁 Pau Víctor
↦ Lamine Yamal
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
25 G. Mamardashvili G
12 Thierry Correia D
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
24 Yarek Gąsiorowski D
21 Jesús Vázquez D
11 Rafa Mir M
18 Pepelu M
8 Javi Guerra M
16 Diego López M
10 André Almeida F
9 Hugo Duro F
Bench (12)
20 D. Foulquier
17 Dani Gómez
27 David Otorbi
32 Martín Tejón
6 Hugo Guillamón
15 César Tárrega
39 Rodrigo Abajas
5 C. Özkacar
19 Alberto Marí
13 S. Dimitrievski
34 Raúl Jiménez
28 A. Fadal

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
3 Alejandro Balde D
28 Marc Bernal M
17 Marc Casadó M
19 Lamine Yamal M
11 Raphinha M
7 Ferran Torres M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
8 Pedri
15 A. Christensen
35 Gerard Martín
24 Eric García
18 Pau Víctor
29 Álex Valle
13 Iñaki Peña
26 Ander Astralaga
14 Pablo Torre
32 Héctor Fort
36 Sergi Domínguez

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,76
🔒
U
3,87
🔒
B ✓
1,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,82
🔒
U2,5
2,02
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.