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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
0–2
Full-time
Bournemouth
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 1,90
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · Bournemouth 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 15 11 3 1 +19 +16.5 36
2 Liverpool 14 9 4 1 +18 +12.5 31
3 Man City 14 9 3 2 +20 +16.6 30
4 Aston Villa 14 9 2 3 +13 +6.1 29
5 Tottenham 14 8 3 3 +8 -1.2 27
6 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 +18 +14.0 26
7 Man United 14 8 0 6 -1 -3.7 24
8 Brighton 14 6 4 4 +4 +2.1 22
9 West Ham 14 6 3 5 +0 -4.9 21
10 Chelsea 14 5 4 5 +3 +9.6 19
11 Brentford 14 5 4 5 +3 +9.1 19
12 Wolves 15 5 3 7 -5 -6.5 18
13 Everton 14 5 2 7 -5 +2.3 17
14 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 -5 -2.2 16
15 Fulham 14 4 3 7 -10 -9.5 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 -6 -5.0 13
17 Bournemouth 14 3 4 7 -14 -6.9 13
18 Luton 15 2 3 10 -14 -17.8 9
19 Burnley 15 2 1 12 -18 -10.9 7
20 Sheffield United 14 1 2 11 -28 -20.4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Bournemouth
25′
M. Senesi 0–1
L. Sinisterra
N. Clyne 🔁
↦ T. Mitchell
29′
Odsonne Édouard 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Marcos Senesi
62′
🔁 M. Tavernier
↦ A. Semenyo
62′
🔁 P. Billing
↦ J. Kluivert
63′
🟨 Illia Zabarnyi
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ J. Schlupp
69′
N. Ahamada 🔁
↦ J. Ward
69′
79′
🔁 D. Ouattara
↦ L. Sinisterra
83′
🟨 Dango Ouattara
J. Mateta 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
86′
88′
🔁 K. Moore
↦ D. Solanke
91′
K. Moore 0–2
P. Billing
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
2 J. Ward D
16 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guéhi D
3 T. Mitchell D
26 C. Richards M
8 J. Lerma M
7 M. Olise M
15 J. Schlupp M
9 J. Ayew M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
29 N. Ahamada
14 J. Mateta
23 M. Ebiowei
5 J. Tomkins
44 J. Riedewald
31 R. Matthews
11 Matheus França

Coach: R. Hodgson

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 Neto G
15 A. Smith D
27 I. Zabarnyi D
25 M. Senesi D
3 M. Kerkez D
4 L. Cook M
10 R. Christie M
24 A. Semenyo M
19 J. Kluivert M
17 L. Sinisterra M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (9)
16 M. Tavernier
29 P. Billing
11 D. Ouattara
21 K. Moore
6 C. Mepham
26 G. Kilkenny
8 J. Rothwell
42 M. Travers
7 D. Brooks

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U
3,45
B ✓
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.