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Copa del Rey

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz

Atlético Astorga

0–2

Full-time

Sevilla

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Astorga Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Atlético Astorga 39. · Sevilla 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Lugo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Castellon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Antequera	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
59	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
60	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
61	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
62	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
121	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
19	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
20	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
27	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
28	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Arenteiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Antequera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
68	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
70	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Astorga Sevilla

C. Bueno 🟨

25′

28′

⚽ Sergio Ramos 0–1

J. Amor 🟨

40′

Half-time 0–1

Davo Lorenzo 🔁

↦ Jonatan Lopes

60′

64′

🔁 L. Ocampos

↦ Adrià Pedrosa

64′

🔁 N. Gudelj

↦ Sergio Ramos

68′

⚽ F. Gattoni 0–2

Joan Jordán

José Misffut 🔁

↦ Christian Bueno

71′

J. Misffut 🟨

72′

Herrador 🔁

↦ Álex Matos

77′

Pablo Quintana 🔁

↦ Diego Peláez

77′

Sergio Fernández 🔁

↦ Albertín

77′

91′

🔁 Oso

↦ Manu Bueno

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Atlético Astorga

13 Pablo Barredo

4 Andrés Calvo

5 Miguel Manso

12 Jonatan Lopes

14 David Álvarez

17 Álex Matos

6 Albertín

22 Christian Bueno

21 Ivi Vales

7 Diego Peláez

10 Javi Amor

Bench (11)

2 Davo Lorenzo

16 José Misffut

3 Herrador

8 Pablo Quintana

11 Sergio Fernández

18 Óscar Crespo

9 Mario Presa

24 Aaron Ruiz

19 Lorento

20 Eduardo Mendoza

1 Sergio García

Coach: José Lago

Sevilla

M. Dmitrović

4 Sergio Ramos

Adrià Pedrosa

F. Gattoni

Kike Salas

29 Darío Benavides

21 Óliver Torres

8 Joan Jordán

25 A. Januzaj

Manu Bueno

Rafa Mir

Bench (11)

5 L. Ocampos

6 N. Gudelj

36 Oso

15 Y. En-Nesyri

18 D. Sow

31 Alberto Flores

10 I. Rakitić

11 D. Lukébakio

26 Juanlu Sánchez

33 Matías Árbol

35 Xavi Sintes

Coach: D. Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

1. Nov CDR 2 years ago

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

26,4 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Atlético Astorga

Sevilla

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee