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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Lugano

T T S T S

1–3

Full-time

Basel

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

47%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

53%

67%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,68 xG 3,40

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 6. · Basel 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	15	8	6	1	+16	-0.6	30
2	St. Gallen	16	9	3	4	+14	+9.9	30
3	Young Boys	15	8	5	2	+17	+0.2	29
4	Servette	16	8	5	3	+8	+9.1	29
5	Luzern	16	7	3	6	-4	+1.4	24
6	Lugano	15	7	1	7	+3	+4.8	22
7	Lausanne	16	5	4	7	-4	+2.2	19
8	Grasshoppers	16	5	2	9	+0	-5.3	17
9	Yverdon	16	4	5	7	-15	-8.3	17
10	Winterthur	15	4	4	7	-8	-1.0	16
11	Basel	15	3	3	9	-12	-8.2	12
12	Lausanne Ouchy	15	2	5	8	-15	-4.2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	8	8	0	0	+16	+5.3	24
2	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
3	Young Boys	7	5	2	0	+15	+1.7	17
4	Zurich	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.4	17
5	Servette	8	4	3	1	+7	+3.5	15
6	Lausanne	8	4	2	2	+4	+1.8	14
7	Grasshoppers	8	4	1	3	+7	-1.9	13
8	Lugano	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.3	13
9	Yverdon	8	3	3	2	-3	-1.2	12
10	Basel	8	3	2	3	+1	-3.6	11
11	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
12	Lausanne Ouchy	8	1	4	3	-8	-1.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	8	4	2	2	+1	+5.6	14
2	Zurich	7	3	4	0	+9	+0.8	13
3	Young Boys	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
4	Lugano	8	3	0	5	-1	+2.4	9
5	St. Gallen	8	1	3	4	-2	+4.6	6
6	Winterthur	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.3	5
7	Lausanne	8	1	2	5	-8	+0.4	5
8	Luzern	8	1	2	5	-10	-2.2	5
9	Yverdon	8	1	2	5	-12	-7.1	5
10	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.1	4
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	1	6	-7	-3.5	4
12	Basel	7	0	1	6	-13	-4.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.