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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Stefanski
Rakow
T U U S U
1–0
Full-time
Cracovia
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 4
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 20. · Cracovia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Widzew Lodz 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Jagiellonia 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Arka Gdynia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Stal Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Warta Poznan 3 2 0 1 +3 6
10 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Stal Mielec 3 2 0 1 +2 6
12 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Wisła Puławy 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Garbarnia Kraków 3 2 0 1 +0 6
16 Polonia Warszawa 3 2 0 1 -1 6
17 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Polonia Bytom 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Resovia Rzeszów 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Tychy 71 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Nieciecza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Cracovia
10′
🟨 Karol Knap
Half-time 0–0
S. Svarnas 🔁
↦ F. Tudor
46′
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ B. Lederman
49′
69′
🔁 S. Doba
↦ K. Śmiglewski
70′
🟨 Virgil Ghiță
Dawid Drachal 🟨
77′
A. Crnac 🔁
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
81′
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
81′
Gustav Berggren 🟨
85′
1–0 M. Rundić
93′
95′
🟨 Szymon Doba
95′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ B. Källman
99′
🔁 F. Rózga
↦ K. Knap
Fabian Piasecki 🟨
106′
106′
🔁 B. Kolec
↦ A. Skovgaard
106′
🔁 P. Zaucha
↦ J. Atanasov
S. Plavšić 🔁
↦ D. Sorescu
118′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
V. Kovačević G
F. Tudor M
B. Racovițan D
M. Rundić D
D. Drachal M
B. Lederman M
V. Kochergin M
D. Sorescu M
M. Cebula M
B. Nowak F
Ł. Zwoliński F
Bench (8)
S. Svarnas
G. Berggren
A. Crnac
F. Piasecki
S. Plavšić
A. Kovačević
A. Tsiftsis
T. Mras

Coach: D. Szwarga

Cracovia

5-3-2
L. Hroššo G
O. Kakabadze M
C. Râpă M
A. Hoskonen D
V. Ghiță D
A. Skovgaard D
T. Oshima M
K. Knap M
J. Atanasov M
K. Śmiglewski F
B. Källman F
Bench (9)
S. Doba
M. Bochnak
F. Rózga
B. Kolec
P. Zaucha
A. Wilk
J. Myszor
K. Glik
K. Jodłowski

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.