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Copa del Rey
Referee: Mario Melero
Yeclano
T S
0–2
Full-time
Vallecano
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeclano Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
6,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Yeclano 23. · Vallecano 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Castellon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +10 3
8 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Villanovense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
58 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
59 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yeclano Vallecano
A. Silvente Bernal 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Bebe
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 R. Nteka
Pau Pérez 🔁
↦ Juan Riquelme
55′
Víctor Olmedo 🔁
↦ Álvaro González
55′
56′
🔁 José Pozo
↦ R. Nteka
64′
🔁 P. Ciss
↦ Bebé
64′
🔁 R. Falcao
↦ Óscar Valentín
Iván Pérez 🔁
↦ Clemente Iniesta
65′
Sergio Sanchís 🔁
↦ Andrés Silvente
66′
74′
🟨 M. Pascual
75′
🔁 Unai López
↦ Kike Pérez
75′
🔁 A. Espino
↦ Pep Chavarría
Uriel 🔁
↦ Javi Pedrosa
77′
89′
⚽ R. Falcao 0–1
Unai López
U. Jove Balero 🟨
91′
94′
⚽ Raúl de Tomás 0–2
P. Ciss
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Yeclano

1 Sergio Díaz
15 Víctor Algisí
2 Álvaro González
5 Andrés Rodríguez
21 Sato
4 Gabri Clemente
8 Juan Riquelme
20 Javi Pedrosa
6 Juanje Rodríguez
7 Clemente Iniesta
9 Andrés Silvente
Bench (11)
10 Pau Pérez
18 Víctor Olmedo
17 Iván Pérez
22 Sergio Sanchís
3 Uriel
19 Titi
28 José Manuel
27 Tomás Ignacio
11 Luispa
13 Borja Marti
14 José Ayala

Coach: Adrián Hernández

Vallecano

13 Dani Cárdenas
5 Aridane Hernández
2 A. Rațiu
3 Pep Chavarría
4 Martín Pascual
23 Óscar Valentín
14 Kike Pérez
11 R. Nteka
10 Bebé
22 Raúl de Tomás
19 Jorge de Frutos
Bench (11)
6 José Pozo
21 P. Ciss
9 R. Falcao
17 Unai López
12 A. Espino
8 Ó. Trejo
7 Isi Palazón
16 A. Mumin
1 S. Dimitrievski
18 Álvaro García
20 I. Balliu

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.