Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Inter
Spezia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 27 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 24 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 6 |
Sassuolo
|
12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 |
Verona
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Lazio
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 |
Sampdoria
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +0 | 17 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |
Benevento
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 |
Spezia
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 |
Torino
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Crotone
|
13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. de Vrij
D
M. Škriniar
D
A. Hakimi
M
A. Bastoni
D
R. Gagliardini
M
N. Barella
M
R. Lukaku
F
L. Martínez
F
Coach: A. Conte
I. Provedel
G
L. Vignali
D
A. Ismajli
D
M. Ricci
M
G. Acampora
F
A. Deiola
M
E. Gyasi
F
Coach: V. Italiano
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Inter
Napoli
Cagliari
Inter
Inter
Bologna
Sassuolo
Inter
Inter
Torino
M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.