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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
Olympiakos
S S S S U
5–1
Full-time
Larisa
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,7
0,3
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,8
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
83%
8%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,6
Conceded
0,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,1
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Larisa 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 10 2 0 +25 32
2 Aris Thessalonikis 12 9 2 1 +13 29
3 Aris 12 9 2 1 +13 29
4 PAOK 12 7 3 2 +11 24
5 AEK 11 7 2 2 +10 23
6 Panathinaikos 13 5 3 5 +2 18
7 Asteras Tripolis 13 4 4 5 -2 16
8 Volos NFC 13 3 6 4 -4 15
9 Atromitos 13 3 6 4 -6 15
10 OFI Crete 14 4 3 7 -9 15
11 Giannina 13 3 4 6 -2 13
12 Apollon 13 3 3 7 -5 12
13 Panetolikos 14 1 5 8 -11 8
14 Larisa 12 1 3 8 -14 6
15 Lamia 11 0 2 9 -21 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Dec -19 Olympiakos – Larisa 4–1 1. Sep -19 Larisa – Olympiakos 0–1

Match report

Olympiakos Larisa
1–0 H. Soudani ⚽
25′
33′
⚽ D. Pinakas 1–1
A. Michail
2–1 Y. El-Arabi ⚽
K. Fortounis
40′
Half-time 2–1
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ H. Soudani
58′
T. Androutsos 🔁
↦ Rafinha
59′
3–1 G. Masouras ⚽
Bruma
65′
66′
🟨 Vangelis Platellas
67′
🔁 M. Nunič
↦ H. Younès
A. Papadopoulos 🔁
↦ Rúben Semedo
76′
Tiago Silva 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
76′
77′
🔁 O. Grigoropoulos
↦ M. Bertos
4–1 Bruma ⚽
G. Masouras
79′
H. Cuypers 🔁
↦ Mohamed Camara
80′
81′
🔁 A. Kotsianoulis
↦ V. Platelas
5–1 Y. El-Arabi ⚽
G. Masouras
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
13 Rafinha D
25 J. Holebas D
3 Rúben Semedo D
24 O. Ba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
2 H. Soudani F
7 K. Fortounis M
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
27 Bruma M
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
14 T. Androutsos
34 A. Papadopoulos
8 Tiago Silva
20 H. Cuypers
10 Pêpê Rodrigues
17 M. Vrousai
31 Ö. Kristinsson
5 A. Bouchalakis

Coach: Pedro Martins

Larisa

3-5-2
19 V. Bajić G
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
4 T. Iliadis D
44 N. Gkotzamanidis
23 G. Maidanos
11 V. Platelas M
14 S. Glinos M
20 A. Chalatsis M
99 H. Younès F
17 D. Pinakas F
Bench (8)
33 M. Nunič
24 O. Grigoropoulos
18 A. Kotsianoulis
1 G. Nagy
88 A. Nikolias
70 G. Daktylas
27 D. Loufakis
21 G. Zacharakis

Coach: G. Tatsis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
🔒
U
7,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,54
🔒
U2,5
2,40
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.