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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T S

5–3

Full-time

Willem II

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 31%

45%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

82%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Willem II 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	0	2	+42	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Vitesse	13	9	2	2	+14	29
4	Groningen	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Twente	13	7	3	3	+10	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	5	1	+9	20
8	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+4	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Zwolle	13	2	7	4	-8	13
11	Utrecht	11	2	6	3	-4	12
12	Heracles	13	3	3	7	-10	12
13	Waalwijk	13	3	3	7	-12	12
14	For Sittard	13	2	4	7	-13	10
15	VVV Venlo	13	2	3	8	-19	9
16	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Den Haag	13	1	4	8	-20	7
18	FC Emmen	13	0	5	8	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
10	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-5	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+23	15
3	Twente	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
11	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
12	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-12	5
13	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
14	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
15	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
16	Utrecht	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.