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Pro League

Standard

T U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Mouscron

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 15/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

40%

18%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

41%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 10. · Mouscron 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	10	6	5	+8	36
2	Genk	16	10	5	1	+19	35
3	Charleroi	20	10	4	6	+7	34
4	Club Brugge	17	9	4	4	+20	31
5	Beerschot VA	18	10	1	7	+1	31
6	Gent	18	9	1	8	+8	28
7	Anderlecht	17	6	9	2	+9	27
8	Antwerp	15	7	5	3	+7	26
9	Kortrijk	20	7	5	8	-3	26
10	Standard	15	6	6	3	+4	24
11	Eupen	17	5	9	3	-1	24
12	Waregem	19	7	3	9	-6	24
13	Cercle Brugge	19	7	0	12	-6	21
14	Oostende	16	5	4	7	+1	19
15	Mechelen	17	5	4	8	-7	19
16	Waasland-Beveren	17	5	3	9	-11	18
17	Beveren	17	5	3	9	-11	18
18	St Truiden	19	3	6	10	-11	15
19	Mouscron	17	3	5	9	-14	14
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	3	5	9	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Genk	8	6	2	0	+15	20
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+6	16
5	Antwerp	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Charleroi	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Oostende	8	4	2	2	+8	14
8	Anderlecht	8	3	5	0	+5	14
9	Kortrijk	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Gent	8	3	1	4	+4	10
11	Standard	6	2	4	0	+2	10
12	St Truiden	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Eupen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
14	Mouscron	9	2	3	4	-2	9
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Cercle Brugge	10	3	0	7	-4	9
17	Waregem	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Waasland-Beveren	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Beveren	8	2	1	5	-6	7
20	Mechelen	9	1	2	6	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	10	5	3	2	+4	18
2	Gent	10	6	0	4	+4	18
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	4	4	3	+3	16
4	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Club Brugge	8	4	3	1	+14	15
6	Genk	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Standard	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	Eupen	9	3	5	1	+1	14
9	Mechelen	8	4	2	2	-1	14
10	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+4	13
11	Kortrijk	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Cercle Brugge	9	4	0	5	-2	12
13	Waasland-Beveren	9	3	2	4	-5	11
14	Beveren	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Antwerp	6	3	1	2	+2	10
16	Beerschot VA	9	3	1	5	-8	10
17	Oostende	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	St Truiden	10	1	2	7	-11	5
19	Mouscron	8	1	2	5	-12	5
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	2	5	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.