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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Standard
U U U T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 28%
38%
18%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Corners 1
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 10. · Royal Excel Mouscron 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 10 6 5 +8 36
2 Genk 16 10 5 1 +19 35
3 Charleroi 20 10 4 6 +7 34
4 Club Brugge 17 9 4 4 +20 31
5 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
6 Gent 18 9 1 8 +8 28
7 Anderlecht 17 6 9 2 +9 27
8 Antwerp 15 7 5 3 +7 26
9 Kortrijk 20 7 5 8 -3 26
10 Standard 16 6 6 4 +3 24
11 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
12 Waregem 19 7 3 9 -6 24
13 Cercle Brugge 19 7 0 12 -6 21
14 Oostende 16 5 4 7 +1 19
15 Mechelen 17 5 4 8 -7 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 17 5 3 9 -11 18
17 Beveren 17 5 3 9 -11 18
18 Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
19 St Truiden 19 3 6 10 -11 15
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
Laurent Jans 🟨
9′
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ O. Oularé
13′
30′
Bruno Xadas 0–1
I. Faraj
34′
🟨 Deni Hočko
Half-time 0–1
M. Carcela-González 🔁
↦ D. Čop
46′
63′
🔁 B. Badibanga
↦ F. Olinga
71′
🔁 S. Tabekou
↦ I. Faraj
Merveille Bokadi 🟨
72′
Selim Amallah 🟨
77′
M. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ N. Dussenne
77′
Mehdi Carcela-González 🟨
78′
88′
🔁 D. Nlandu
↦ Bruno Xadas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
27 L. Jans D
24 N. Gavory D
20 M. Bokadi M
22 M. Lestienne M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
26 N. Raskin M
7 D. Čop F
9 O. Oularé F
Bench (7)
25 F. Avenatti
10 M. Carcela-González
32 M. Balikwisha
8 G. Cimirot
30 L. Henkinet
34 K. Laifis
21 C. Fai

Coach: M. Leye

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
18 R. Quirynen D
5 S. Agouzoul D
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed M
7 F. Olinga F
23 Bruno Xadas M
8 J. Onana M
20 Nuno da Costa F
14 I. Faraj F
Bench (7)
29 B. Badibanga
70 S. Tabekou
39 D. Nlandu
4 A. Gueye
25 C. Brym
22 E. Bocat
21 N. Gillekens

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.