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Serie A
Referee: P Giacomelli
Verona
S U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
38%
69%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
38%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
54%
77%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
5 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
15 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 9. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 13 9 4 0 +15 31
2 Inter 13 9 3 1 +16 30
3 Napoli 12 8 0 4 +15 24
4 Juventus 13 6 6 1 +12 24
5 Roma 13 7 3 3 +7 24
6 Sassuolo 13 6 5 2 +8 23
7 Atalanta 12 6 3 3 +8 21
8 Lazio 13 6 3 4 +0 21
9 Verona 13 5 5 3 +5 20
10 Sampdoria 13 5 2 6 +0 17
11 Udinese 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Benevento 13 4 3 6 -8 15
13 Cagliari 13 3 5 5 -5 14
14 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 -5 14
15 Bologna 13 4 2 7 -6 14
16 Parma 14 2 6 6 -12 12
17 Spezia 13 2 5 6 -9 11
18 Crotone 14 2 3 9 -16 9
19 Torino 13 1 4 8 -10 7
20 Genoa 13 1 4 8 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Inter
Paweł Dawidowicz 🟨
29′
M. Lovato 🔁
↦ P. Dawidowicz
31′
Mattia Zaccagni 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
Half-time 0–0
I. Ilić 🔁
↦ E. Salcedo
46′
51′
L. Martínez 0–1
A. Hakimi
K. Rüegg 🔁
↦ E. Colley
53′
D. Lazović 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
53′
K. Günter 🔁
↦ M. Lovato
59′
1–1 I. Ilić
63′
Federico Dimarco 🟨
64′
69′
M. Škriniar 1–2
M. Brozović
70′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ I. Perišić
Giangiacomo Magnani 🟨
79′
83′
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
87′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ L. Martínez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-2-1
1 M. Silvestri G
5 D. Faraoni M
17 F. Ceccherini D
3 F. Dimarco M
27 P. Dawidowicz D
23 G. Magnani D
4 Miguel Veloso M
61 A. Tameze M
20 M. Zaccagni F
90 E. Colley F
9 E. Salcedo F
Bench (12)
6 M. Lovato
14 I. Ilić
19 K. Rüegg
8 D. Lazović
21 K. Günter
13 I. Udogie
25 I. Pandur
99 L. Bertini
15 M. Çetin
22 A. Berardi
45 P. Ankrah
72 A. Danzi

Coach: I. Juric

Inter

3-4-2-1
1 S. Handanovič G
15 A. Young M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić F
77 M. Brozović M
23 N. Barella M
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (9)
22 A. Vidal
5 R. Gagliardini
33 D. D'Ambrosio
27 D. Padelli
97 I. Radu
13 A. Ranocchia
12 S. Sensi
11 A. Kolarov
36 M. Darmian

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,77
U
4,04
B ✓
1,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Giacomelli · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.