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Super League

Referee: K Tohver

Panathinaikos

S U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Super League · 32/29 matches

Win Ø 51%

47%

55%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

34%

Both score Ø 35%

41%

28%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

2 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 17

6 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · Aris Thessalonikis 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	26	5	1	+60	83
2	Aris	30	17	6	7	+18	57
3	AEK	32	17	6	9	+9	57
4	Aris Thessalonikis	29	16	6	7	+17	54
5	PAOK	31	14	10	7	+21	52
6	Panathinaikos	32	15	7	10	+11	52
7	Asteras Tripolis	32	12	11	9	-2	47
8	Volos NFC	32	9	12	11	-7	39
9	Giannina	32	9	10	13	-4	37
10	Lamia	31	8	9	14	-20	33
11	Atromitos	32	6	13	13	-16	31
12	Apollon	32	8	6	18	-14	30
13	OFI Crete	32	6	7	19	-24	25
14	Panetolikos	32	5	10	17	-24	25
15	Larisa	31	5	8	18	-25	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	PAOK	15	9	6	0	+21	33
3	Aris Thessalonikis	15	9	2	4	+9	29
4	Aris	15	9	2	4	+9	29
5	Asteras Tripolis	16	8	5	3	+4	29
6	Panathinaikos	16	8	4	4	+9	28
7	AEK	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Volos NFC	17	5	6	6	-2	21
9	Atromitos	16	4	7	5	-2	19
10	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Giannina	16	4	5	7	-4	17
12	Lamia	15	4	5	6	-7	17
13	Apollon	16	4	2	10	-9	14
14	OFI Crete	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Larisa	15	1	6	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	11	3	1	+24	36
2	AEK	17	11	2	4	+9	35
3	Aris	15	8	4	3	+9	28
4	Aris Thessalonikis	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Panathinaikos	16	7	3	6	+2	24
6	Giannina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
7	PAOK	16	5	4	7	+0	19
8	Volos NFC	15	4	6	5	-5	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	6	6	-6	18
10	Apollon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
11	Lamia	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Larisa	16	4	2	10	-11	14
13	OFI Crete	16	3	3	10	-10	12
14	Atromitos	16	2	6	8	-14	12
15	Panetolikos	16	0	7	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.