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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Bordeaux
T S T T T
0–3
Full-time
Monaco
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
59%
75%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 16. · Monaco 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 33 20 10 3 +34 70
2 Paris SG 33 22 3 8 +49 69
3 Monaco 32 20 5 7 +29 65
4 Lyon 32 18 10 4 +32 64
5 Lens 33 14 11 8 +7 53
6 Marseille 33 14 10 9 +5 52
7 Rennes 33 14 9 10 +8 51
8 Montpellier 33 12 11 10 -1 47
9 Metz 33 11 10 12 -2 43
10 Nice 33 12 7 14 -3 43
11 Reims 33 9 14 10 +0 41
12 Angers 33 11 8 14 -16 41
13 St Etienne 33 10 9 14 -12 39
14 Strasbourg 33 10 7 16 -9 37
15 Brest 33 10 7 16 -11 37
16 Bordeaux 32 10 6 16 -10 36
17 Lorient 33 8 8 17 -21 32
18 Nimes 33 8 7 18 -28 31
19 Nantes 32 5 13 14 -17 28
20 Dijon 33 3 9 21 -34 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Monaco
15′
🟨 Youssouf Fofana
Mexer 🔁
↦ L. Koscielny
24′
29′
K. Volland 0–1
W. Ben Yedder
Half-time 0–2
47′
Gelson Martins 0–2
A. Tchouaméni
M. Zerkane 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
62′
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ H. Ben Arfa
63′
66′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ W. Ben Yedder
66′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ A. Golovin
Tom Lacoux 🟨
72′
Mehdi Zerkane 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ Gelson Martins
Tom Lacoux 🟨
78′
Tom Lacoux 🟥
78′
J. Seri 🔁
↦ T. Bašić
82′
A. Traore 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
82′
83′
🔁 Florentino Luís
↦ Y. Fofana
83′
🔁 F. Ballo
↦ K. Volland
Jean-Michaël Seri 🟨
84′
90′
S. Jovetić 0–3
S. Diop
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Bordeaux

5-3-2
1 B. Costil G
24 P. Baysse D
6 L. Koscielny D
23 L. Benito D
20 Y. Sabaly D
8 H. Ben Arfa F
26 T. Bašić M
19 Y. Adli M
27 T. Lacoux M
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
28 R. Oudin D
Bench (9)
4 Mexer
17 M. Zerkane
12 N. de Préville
15 J. Seri
31 A. Traore
25 E. Kwateng
29 M. Poundjé
7 J. Briand
16 G. Poussin

Coach: J. Gasset

Monaco

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
29 D. Sidibé D
3 G. Maripán D
12 Caio Henrique D
32 B. Badiashile D
11 Gelson Martins M
17 A. Golovin M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
31 K. Volland M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (8)
10 S. Jovetić
37 S. Diop
26 R. Aguilar
35 Florentino Luís
2 F. Ballo
1 R. Majecki
20 A. Disasi
30 V. Mannone

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,32
U
3,91
B ✓
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.