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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Nimes
T U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
5 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nimes 18. · Strasbourg 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 33 20 10 3 +34 70
2 Paris SG 33 22 3 8 +49 69
3 Monaco 32 20 5 7 +29 65
4 Lyon 32 18 10 4 +32 64
5 Lens 32 14 10 8 +7 52
6 Marseille 33 14 10 9 +5 52
7 Rennes 33 14 9 10 +8 51
8 Montpellier 33 12 11 10 -1 47
9 Nice 32 12 7 13 -1 43
10 Metz 32 11 9 12 -2 42
11 Angers 33 11 8 14 -16 41
12 Reims 32 9 13 10 +0 40
13 St Etienne 33 10 9 14 -12 39
14 Strasbourg 32 10 6 16 -9 36
15 Bordeaux 32 10 6 16 -10 36
16 Brest 32 10 6 16 -11 36
17 Lorient 33 8 8 17 -21 32
18 Nimes 32 8 6 18 -28 30
19 Nantes 32 5 13 14 -17 28
20 Dijon 32 2 9 21 -36 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Strasbourg
29′
🟨 Jean-Eudes Aholou
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟥 Frédéric Guilbert
55′
🔁 L. Carole
↦ L. Ajorque
1–0 R. Ripart ⚽
55′
61′
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
67′
🔁 J. Bellegarde
↦ A. Thomasson
76′
🔁 M. Chahiri
↦ J. Aholou
76′
🔁 D. Sahi
↦ H. Diallo
82′
⚽ D. Liénard 1–1
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ Y. Benrahou
83′
K. Aribi 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
89′
N. Roux 🔁
↦ M. Koné
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nimes

4-1-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
3 B. Meling D
26 F. Miguel D
29 S. Alakouch D
2 K. Guessoum D
8 L. Deaux M
10 Z. Ferhat M
12 L. Fomba M
22 Y. Benrahou M
20 R. Ripart M
28 M. Koné F
Bench (9)
7 N. Eliasson
13 K. Aribi
25 N. Roux
5 L. Landre
11 M. Ahlinvi
40 A. Nazih
6 S. Sarr
15 G. Paquiez
27 N. Ueda

Coach: P. Plancque

Strasbourg

4-3-1-2
1 M. Sels G
13 S. Mitrović D
4 F. Guilbert D
24 A. Djiku D
19 A. Caci D
11 D. Liénard M
6 J. Aholou M
26 A. Thomasson M
27 I. Sissoko M
25 L. Ajorque F
28 H. Diallo F
Bench (9)
23 L. Carole
17 J. Bellegarde
21 M. Chahiri
31 D. Sahi
18 M. Siby
14 S. Prcić
33 M. Elimbi Gilbert
20 K. Zohi
16 E. Kawashima

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,50
U ✓
3,53
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.