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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Waregem
S T T S T
2–7
Full-time
Gent
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 37/31 matches
Win Ø 47%
49%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
73%
58%
Both score Ø 55%
65%
45%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 4. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 31 22 5 4 +48 71
2 Antwerp 32 19 7 6 +19 64
3 Genk 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Waregem 37 18 4 15 -2 58
5 Beerschot VA 37 16 6 15 -3 54
6 Mechelen 31 15 7 9 +7 52
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 37 14 10 13 -1 52
8 Gent 31 14 6 11 +18 48
9 Oostende 31 14 6 11 +6 48
10 Kortrijk 37 14 6 17 -5 48
11 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
12 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
13 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
14 Cercle Brugge 37 14 2 21 -7 44
15 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
16 St Truiden 37 11 9 17 -11 42
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 33 7 10 16 -20 31
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31
20 Beveren 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Gent
14′
A. Castro-Montes 0–1
R. Yaremchuk
15′
ℹ️ Alessio Castro-Montes
VAR: Penalty confirmed
29′
R. Yaremchuk 0–2
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
Damien Marcq 🟨
30′
40′
A. Castro-Montes 0–3
M. Mohammadi
Half-time 0–4
48′
M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui 0–4
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
Olivier Deschacht 🟨
51′
57′
🟨 Roman Bezus
60′
🔁 N. Dorsch
↦ R. Bezus
63′
V. Odjidja-Ofoe 0–5
M. De Smet 🔁
↦ O. Govea
66′
A. Colassin 🔁
↦ I. Seck
66′
P. Armenakas 🔁
↦ T. Chorý
67′
69′
🔁 A. De Bruyn
↦ A. Castro-Montes
69′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ T. Tissoudali
69′
🔁 S. Kums
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
75′
A. De Bruyn 0–6
M. Mohammadi
J. Van Hecke 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
77′
1–6 G. Bruno
80′
84′
R. Yaremchuk 1–7
N. Dorsch
2–7 E. Pletinckx
M. De Smet
86′
Full-time 2–7

Line-ups

Waregem

4-3-3
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
33 C. Humphreys D
24 E. Pletinckx D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
9 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (7)
29 M. De Smet
53 A. Colassin
23 P. Armenakas
67 J. Van Hecke
1 S. Bossut
80 Y. Sylla
71 C. Thiam

Coach: F. Dury

Gent

4-3-3
1 S. Bolat G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes F
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
34 T. Tissoudali F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
30 N. Dorsch
12 A. De Bruyn
23 Y. Malede
24 S. Kums
36 D. Arslanagić
29 L. Depoitre
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,10
U
3,97
B ✓
1,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.