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Serie A
Referee: M Fabbri
Lazio
S S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Torino
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,8
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 39%
58%
19%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
21 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 6. · Torino 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 37 27 7 3 +50 88
2 Atalanta 37 23 9 5 +45 78
3 Napoli 37 24 4 9 +45 76
4 Milan 37 23 7 7 +31 76
5 Juventus 37 22 9 6 +36 75
6 Lazio 36 21 4 11 +8 67
7 Roma 37 18 7 12 +10 61
8 Sassuolo 37 16 11 10 +6 59
9 Sampdoria 37 14 7 16 -5 49
10 Verona 37 11 11 15 -2 44
11 Bologna 37 10 11 16 -11 41
12 Udinese 37 10 10 17 -12 40
13 Fiorentina 37 9 12 16 -12 39
14 Genoa 37 9 12 16 -12 39
15 Spezia 37 9 11 17 -20 38
16 Cagliari 37 9 10 18 -15 37
17 Torino 36 7 14 15 -19 35
18 Benevento 37 7 11 19 -35 32
19 Crotone 37 6 4 27 -47 22
20 Parma 37 3 11 23 -41 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Torino
T. Strakosha 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
L. Alberto 🟨
50′
Luiz Felipe 🟨
61′
M. Fares 🔁
↦ S. Lulic
61′
Lucas Leiva 🔁
↦ G. Escalante
68′
Luiz Felipe 🔁
↦ Patric
68′
S. Radu 🔁
↦ M. Parolo
75′
J. Akpa Akpro 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
75′
A. Pereira 🟨
81′
C. Immobile
penalty missed
84′
86′
🔁 T. Rincon
↦ D. Baselli
86′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ S. Zaza
93′
🔁 A. Belotti
↦ S. Verdi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 Thomas Strakosha G
77 Adam Marušić D
3 Luiz Felipe D
26 Ştefan Radu D
29 Manuel Lazzari M
92 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro M
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
96 Mohamed Fares M
94 Vedat Muriqi F
17 Ciro Immobile F
Bench (9)
25 Pepe Reina
71 Marco Alia
4 Patric
13 Nicolò Armini
19 Senad Lulić
7 Andreas Pereira
32 Danilo Cataldi
18 Gonzalo Escalante
16 Marco Parolo

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Torino

3-5-2
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
3 Gleison Bremer D
17 Wilfried Singo M
88 Tomás Rincón M
38 Rolando Mandragora M
7 Saša Lukić M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
19 Antonio Sanabria F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (11)
32 Vanja Milinković-Savić
18 Samir Ujkani
27 Mergim Vojvoda
99 Alessandro Buongiorno
13 Ricardo Rodríguez
4 Lyanco
8 Daniele Baselli
77 Karol Linetty
26 Federico Bonazzoli
11 Simone Zaza
24 Simone Verdi

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,25
B
3,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.