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Serie A
Referee: F Dionisi
Lazio
S T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Parma
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,7
5,0
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
3,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
This season — Serie A · 34/35 matches
Win Ø 34%
59%
9%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
57%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 6. · Parma 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 35 26 7 2 +49 85
2 Napoli 36 23 4 9 +43 73
3 Atalanta 35 21 9 5 +42 72
4 Milan 35 22 6 7 +24 72
5 Juventus 35 20 9 6 +33 69
6 Lazio 34 20 4 10 +9 64
7 Roma 35 17 7 11 +10 58
8 Sassuolo 35 15 11 9 +6 56
9 Sampdoria 35 13 6 16 -6 45
10 Verona 35 11 10 14 -1 43
11 Bologna 35 10 10 15 -9 40
12 Udinese 36 10 10 16 -11 40
13 Fiorentina 36 9 12 15 -10 39
14 Genoa 35 8 12 15 -13 36
15 Cagliari 36 9 9 18 -15 36
16 Torino 34 7 14 13 -9 35
17 Spezia 35 8 10 17 -23 34
18 Benevento 35 7 10 18 -33 31
19 Parma 35 3 11 21 -38 20
20 Crotone 35 5 3 27 -48 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Parma
10′
🟨 Juan Brunetta
Half-time 0–0
Manuel Lazzari ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
49′
🟨 Riccardo Gagliolo
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
57′
J. Correa 🔁
↦ V. Muriqi
57′
Luiz Felipe 🔁
↦ Ş. Radu
57′
63′
🔁 V. Laurini
↦ R. Gagliolo
J. Akpa Akpro 🔁
↦ M. Parolo
73′
73′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ G. Pellè
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Patric
79′
84′
🔁 Y. Osorio
↦ M. Bani
84′
🔁 A. Grassi
↦ S. Sohm
85′
🔁 C. Traorè
↦ J. Brunetta
Francesco Acerbi 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Hernani
1–0 C. Immobile
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
16 M. Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto M
29 M. Lazzari M
32 D. Cataldi M
96 M. Fares M
17 C. Immobile F
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (9)
18 G. Escalante
11 J. Correa
3 Luiz Felipe
92 J. Akpa Akpro
20 F. Caicedo
77 A. Marušić
71 M. Alia
25 Pepe Reina
19 S. Lulić

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Parma

3-5-2
1 L. Sepe G
13 M. Bani D
7 R. Gagliolo M
42 M. Busi M
29 D. Dierckx D
14 J. Kurtič M
23 Hernani M
32 J. Brunetta F
19 S. Sohm M
9 G. Pellè F
30 L. Valenti D
Bench (11)
16 V. Laurini
11 A. Cornelius
24 Y. Osorio
8 A. Grassi
35 C. Traorè
4 B. Balogh
77 F. Rinaldi
22 Bruno Alves
34 S. Colombi
37 D. Camara
20 V. Zagaritis

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
6,92
B
12,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
3,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.