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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Lazio
T S U U S
4–0
Full-time
Torino
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lazio 6. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 10 8 1 1 +12 25
2 Juventus 9 7 2 0 +8 23
3 Atalanta 10 6 3 1 +14 21
4 Napoli 10 5 3 2 +7 18
5 Roma 9 4 4 1 +3 16
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +8 15
7 Cagliari 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Parma 10 4 1 5 +1 13
9 Fiorentina 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Bologna 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Verona 10 3 3 4 -1 12
12 Torino 9 3 2 4 -1 11
13 Milan 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -8 10
15 Sassuolo 8 3 0 5 -1 9
16 Lecce 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Genoa 9 2 2 5 -9 8
18 Brescia 9 2 1 6 -5 7
19 Spal 9 2 1 6 -9 7
20 Sampdoria 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Torino
21′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
1–0 Francesco Acerbi
25′
2–0 Ciro Immobile
Luis Alberto
33′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🔁 Simone Verdi
↦ Lyanco
Francesco Acerbi 🟨
56′
Adam Marušić 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 Iago Falque
↦ Simone Zaza
68′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
68′
🟥 Nicolas N'Koulou
3–0 Ciro Immobile
70′
Joaquín Correa 🔁
↦ Felipe Caicedo
72′
Marco Parolo 🔁
↦ Danilo Cataldi
75′
75′
🔁 Koffi Djidji
↦ Daniele Baselli
Luiz Felipe 🔁
↦ Patric
79′
3–1 Andrea Belotti
own goal
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 Thomas Strakosha G
4 Patric D
33 Francesco Acerbi D
26 Ştefan Radu D
77 Adam Marušić M
21 Sergej Milinković-Savić M
32 Danilo Cataldi M
10 Luis Alberto M
19 Senad Lulić M
17 Ciro Immobile F
20 Felipe Caicedo F
Bench (12)
71 Marco Alia
23 Guido Guerrieri
5 Jordan Lukaku
15 Bastos
3 Luiz Felipe
7 Valon Berisha
16 Marco Parolo
11 Joaquín Correa
29 Manuel Lazzari
6 Lucas Leiva
22 Jony
34 Bobby Adekanye

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Torino

3-4-1-2
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
4 Lyanco D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
23 Soualiho Meïté M
8 Daniele Baselli M
93 Diego Laxalt M
7 Saša Lukić F
11 Simone Zaza F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (10)
25 Antonio Rosati
18 Samir Ujkani
15 Cristian Ansaldi
36 Gleison Bremer
34 Ola Aina
30 Koffi Djidji
24 Simone Verdi
22 Vincenzo Millico
21 Alex Berenguer
10 Iago Falque

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,16
B
5,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.