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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Sampdoria

U T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Roma

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 42%

36%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

58%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

55%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 10. · Roma 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	34	25	7	2	+45	82
2	Atalanta	34	20	9	5	+39	69
3	Juventus	34	20	9	5	+36	69
4	Milan	34	21	6	7	+21	69
5	Napoli	34	21	4	9	+36	67
6	Lazio	33	20	4	9	+11	64
7	Roma	33	16	7	10	+7	55
8	Sassuolo	34	14	11	9	+5	53
9	Verona	34	11	9	14	-1	42
10	Sampdoria	33	12	6	15	-4	42
11	Udinese	34	10	9	15	-7	39
12	Bologna	34	10	9	15	-9	39
13	Genoa	34	8	12	14	-12	36
14	Fiorentina	34	8	11	15	-12	35
15	Spezia	34	8	10	16	-20	34
16	Cagliari	34	8	8	18	-17	32
17	Torino	32	6	13	13	-10	31
18	Benevento	34	7	10	17	-31	31
19	Parma	33	3	11	19	-34	20
20	Crotone	34	5	3	26	-43	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	16	14	1	1	+25	43
2	Juventus	17	13	2	2	+24	41
3	Lazio	17	12	2	3	+12	38
4	Roma	17	11	4	2	+17	37
5	Napoli	17	11	3	3	+26	36
6	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+25	36
7	Milan	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Bologna	17	7	5	5	+5	26
9	Sassuolo	17	6	8	3	+4	26
10	Sampdoria	16	7	2	7	+1	23
11	Genoa	17	5	7	5	+1	22
12	Verona	17	6	4	7	+0	22
13	Fiorentina	17	5	6	6	+0	21
14	Udinese	17	5	3	9	-4	18
15	Spezia	16	4	6	6	-5	18
16	Cagliari	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Torino	16	2	8	6	-5	14
18	Crotone	17	4	1	12	-13	13
19	Benevento	17	2	6	9	-18	12
20	Parma	17	2	5	10	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	16	13	1	2	+14	40
2	Inter	18	11	6	1	+20	39
3	Atalanta	17	9	6	2	+14	33
4	Napoli	17	10	1	6	+10	31
5	Juventus	17	7	7	3	+12	28
6	Sassuolo	17	8	3	6	+1	27
7	Lazio	16	8	2	6	-1	26
8	Udinese	17	5	6	6	-3	21
9	Verona	17	5	5	7	-1	20
10	Sampdoria	17	5	4	8	-5	19
11	Benevento	17	5	4	8	-13	19
12	Roma	16	5	3	8	-10	18
13	Torino	16	4	5	7	-5	17
14	Spezia	18	4	4	10	-15	16
15	Cagliari	17	3	5	9	-8	14
16	Fiorentina	17	3	5	9	-12	14
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	-13	14
18	Bologna	17	3	4	10	-14	13
19	Parma	16	1	6	9	-16	9
20	Crotone	17	1	2	14	-30	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.