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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Sampdoria
U U S T T
3–3
Full-time
Udinese
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 15. · Udinese 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 6 0 0 +14 18
2 Inter 7 5 2 0 +14 17
3 Milan 6 5 1 0 +9 16
4 Roma 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 Fiorentina 6 4 0 2 +0 12
6 Lazio 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Atalanta 6 3 2 1 +2 11
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Bologna 7 3 2 2 -2 11
10 Empoli 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Torino 7 2 2 3 +2 8
12 Sassuolo 7 2 1 4 -2 7
13 Udinese 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Verona 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -6 5
17 Venezia 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Spezia 6 1 1 4 -7 4
19 Salernitana 7 1 1 5 -10 4
20 Cagliari 7 0 3 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Udinese
15′
R. Pereyra 0–1
Deulofeu
0–2 J. Stryger Larsen
own goal
24′
43′
Beto 0–3
44′
ℹ️ Beto
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–3
47′
🟨 Marco Silvestri
1–3 F. Quagliarella
48′
50′
🔁 T. Arslan
↦ Deulofeu
Morten Thorsby 🟨
53′
59′
🔁 N. Molina
↦ D. Udogie
2–3 A. Candreva
F. Quagliarella
69′
72′
🟨 Roberto Pereyra
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ M. Damsgaard
72′
A. Ekdal 🔁
↦ Adrien Silva
73′
Kristoffer Askildsen 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Samir
79′
🔁 B. Soppy
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
79′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ J. Makengo
79′
🔁 F. Forestieri
↦ Samir
82′
F. Forestieri 2–4
84′
ℹ️ Fernando Forestieri
VAR: Goal cancelled
Bartosz Bereszyński 🟨
86′
E. Torregrossa 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
87′
Albin Ekdal 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Rodrigo Becão
94′
🟨 Fernando Forestieri
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
5 Adrien Silva M
87 A. Candreva M
2 M. Thorsby M
38 M. Damsgaard M
27 F. Quagliarella F
10 F. Caputo F
Bench (12)
16 K. Askildsen
6 A. Ekdal
9 E. Torregrossa
30 N. Ravaglia
11 R. Ciervo
29 N. Murru
25 A. Ferrari
12 F. Depaoli
19 R. Drăgușin
70 S. Trimboli
4 J. Chabot
33 W. Falcone

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
13 D. Udogie M
37 R. Pereyra M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
10 Deulofeu F
9 Beto F
Bench (11)
5 T. Arslan
16 N. Molina
93 B. Soppy
24 L. Samardžić
45 F. Forestieri
66 E. Piana
87 S. De Maio
23 I. Pussetto
20 D. Padelli
4 M. Zeegelaar
8 M. Jajalo

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,36
B
3,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.