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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Juventus
U T T U S
3–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 12. · Sampdoria 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Napoli 5 5 0 0 +12 15
3 Inter 6 4 2 0 +13 14
4 Roma 5 4 0 1 +7 12
5 Atalanta 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Fiorentina 5 3 0 2 -1 9
7 Lazio 5 2 2 1 +5 8
8 Bologna 5 2 2 1 -3 8
9 Torino 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Udinese 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Empoli 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Juventus 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Sampdoria 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Verona 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Genoa 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Sassuolo 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Spezia 6 1 1 4 -7 4
18 Venezia 5 1 0 4 -7 3
19 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 -6 2
20 Salernitana 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Sampdoria
1–0 P. Dybala
M. Locatelli
10′
D. Kulusevski 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
22′
28′
🟨 Morten Thorsby
41′
🟨 Nicola Murru
2–0 L. Bonucci
43′
44′
M. Yoshida 2–1
A. Candreva
Half-time 2–1
47′
🟨 Albin Ekdal
Rodrigo Bentancur 🟨
53′
3–1 M. Locatelli
D. Kulusevski
57′
59′
🔁 T. Augello
↦ N. Murru
59′
🔁 M. Damsgaard
↦ F. Depaoli
59′
🔁 Adrien Silva
↦ A. Ekdal
Juan Cuadrado 🟨
66′
G. Chiellini 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
70′
A. Ramsey 🔁
↦ F. Bernardeschi
70′
70′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ F. Caputo
M. Kean 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
82′
W. McKennie 🔁
↦ R. Bentancur
82′
83′
A. Candreva 3–2
Adrien Silva
Leonardo Bonucci 🟨
84′
Moise Kean 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 K. Askildsen
↦ M. Thorsby
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Juventus

4-4-2
36 M. Perin G
19 L. Bonucci D
12 Alex Sandro D
4 M. de Ligt D
11 J. Cuadrado D
27 M. Locatelli M
30 R. Bentancur M
9 Álvaro Morata F
10 P. Dybala F
20 F. Bernardeschi M
22 F. Chiesa M
Bench (11)
44 D. Kulusevski
3 G. Chiellini
8 A. Ramsey
18 M. Kean
14 W. McKennie
23 C. Pinsoglio
6 Danilo
24 D. Rugani
1 W. Szczęsny
17 L. Pellegrini
2 M. De Sciglio

Coach: M. Allegri

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
29 N. Murru D
15 O. Colley D
12 F. Depaoli M
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
2 M. Thorsby M
27 F. Quagliarella F
10 F. Caputo F
Bench (12)
3 T. Augello
38 M. Damsgaard
5 Adrien Silva
9 E. Torregrossa
16 K. Askildsen
11 R. Ciervo
33 W. Falcone
25 A. Ferrari
19 R. Drăgușin
4 J. Chabot
70 S. Trimboli
30 N. Ravaglia

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,26
B
8,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.